Plasma p‐tau231 in the Alzheimer’s disease continuum: A multi‐cohort evaluation of diagnostic performance, detection of Aβ pathology and preclinical application
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Background Blood phosphorylated tau (p‐tau) has proven to be the primary candidate as an accessible and scalable biomarker for Alzheimer’s disease (AD). Both p‐tau181 and p‐tau217 are highly accurate to detect AD within dementia cases. Our recent work in cerebrospinal fluid, however, indicates p‐tau231 to be associated to incipient AD pathology. In light of this, we developed a Single molecule array (Simoa) to detect plasma p‐tau231 and assessed its performance in multiple domains, specifically, its ability to detect preclinical AD. Method In all cohorts, plasma p‐tau231 was quantified using an in‐house Simoa method developed at the Clinical Neurochemistry Laboratory, Gothenburg University, Sweden. Data presented in this study are samples acquired from Translational Biomarkers of Aging and Dementia (TRIAD, n=503), King’s College London (n=55), Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (n=145), KARVIAH (n=140), Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (n=430), University College London (n=70), Paris University (n=213), PREVENT‐AD (n=257), University of California (n=309) and ALFA+ (n=385). Result In the TRIAD cohort, plasma p‐tau231 demonstrated high accuracy in determining AD from young individuals (AUC=0.95), Aβ‐ elderly (AUC=0.92), Aβ‐ MCI (AUC=0.88) and other neurodegenerative disorders (AUC=0.92). In an autopsy study, plasma p‐tau231 could detect neuropathologically confirmed AD amongst dementia cases (AUC=0.99). In comparing healthy elderly Aβ‐ and Aβ+ individuals, p‐tau231 predicted preclinical Aβ pathology (AUC=0.83). Furthermore, inflection points of the weighted regression curves demonstrate that increases in plasma p‐tau231 occur before plasma p‐tau181 as a function of Aβ deposition load. Plasma p‐tau231 data from additional cohorts will focus on cross‐sectional and longitudinal preclinical datasets. In addition, further data will show the performance of p‐tau231 in symptomatic and presymptomatic PSEN1/APP mutation carriers, memory clinic cohorts, longitudinal neuropathology confirmed and acute neurological injury. Conclusion Plasma p‐tau231 is a new biomarker specific for AD pathology and at higher concentrations relative to p‐tau181 and p‐tau217. Our initial results indicate that plasma p‐tau231 is equivalent to p‐tau181 in diagnostic utility but has greater potential as a biomarker to monitor emerging Aβ pathology. This presentation will give an overview of novel cross‐sectional and longitudinal plasma p‐tau231 data, in more than 3000 individuals, that encompasses the AD continuum, familial AD and other neurological conditions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".