A Hybrid Learning Approach for Modelling and Analyzing Clickstream Data from Learning Management Systems
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this research, a hybrid approach combining a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN) is introduced to model realtime online feedback to students when completing academic activities using online Learning Management Systems (LMS). The solution provided is a Smart Classifier which unravels, and processes hidden patterns in the data to train appropriate metrics to raise flags indicating outlier student behavior based on historical data from previous and ongoing sessions. This work introduces an approach that facilitates modifications of the attention mechanism in Transformer models. Using this approach, the predictor module of the proposed solution is improved. The key element of this improvement is to use a Bayesian Graph Network (BGN) coupled to a Transformer. As a novelty, this method provides a systematic customization of the attention mechanism in Transformer models that can be applied to a range of problems involving clickstream data.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".