Computer‐extracted features of nuclear morphology in hematoxylin and eosin images distinguish <scp>s</scp>tage <scp>II</scp> and <scp>IV</scp> colon tumors
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We assessed the utility of quantitative features of colon cancer nuclei, extracted from digitized hematoxylin and eosin-stained whole slide images (WSIs), to distinguish between stage II and stage IV colon cancers. Our discovery cohort comprised 100 stage II and stage IV colon cancer cases sourced from the University Hospitals Cleveland Medical Center (UHCMC). We performed initial (independent) model validation on 51 (143) stage II and 79 (54) stage IV colon cancer cases from UHCMC (The Cancer Genome Atlas's Colon Adenocarcinoma, TCGA-COAD, cohort). Our approach comprised the following steps: (1) a fully convolutional deep neural network with VGG-18 architecture was trained to locate cancer on WSIs; (2) another deep-learning model based on Mask-RCNN with Resnet-50 architecture was used to segment all nuclei from within the identified cancer region; (3) a total of 26 641 quantitative morphometric features pertaining to nuclear shape, size, and texture were extracted from within and outside tumor nuclei; (4) a random forest classifier was trained to distinguish between stage II and stage IV colon cancers using the five most discriminatory features selected by the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Our trained classifier using these top five features yielded an AUC of 0.81 and 0.78, respectively, on the held-out cases in the UHCMC and TCGA validation sets. For 197 TCGA-COAD cases, the Cox proportional hazards model yielded a hazard ratio of 2.20 (95% CI 1.24-3.88) with a concordance index of 0.71, using only the top five features for risk stratification of overall survival. The Kaplan-Meier estimate also showed statistically significant separation between the low-risk and high-risk patients, with a log-rank P value of 0.0097. Finally, unsupervised clustering of the top five features revealed that stage IV colon cancers with peritoneal spread were morphologically more similar to stage II colon cancers with no long-term metastases than to stage IV colon cancers with hematogenous spread. © 2022 The Authors. The Journal of Pathology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of The Pathological Society of Great Britain and Ireland.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".