Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this chapter, respondents’ views on the future of Ireland and of the denomination are discussed. Morrow (2004) reports that when Presbyterians were asked about their expectations for the future there was a three-way division: 27 per cent were confident or optimistic; 20 per cent highlighted concerns; and 50 per cent failed to be convinced either way. McCartney (2004) tells the readership of the Presbyterian Herald of the loss of membership in the Church. In 1990, there were 106,669 families in the Presbyterian Church in Ireland, and thirteen years later there were 92,233 — a fall of 13.53 per cent or about 1 per cent per year. McCartney estimates that between 1990 and 2003 the average congregation fell from 192 to 168 families. Of the tiny congregations near the border (estimated number 114), with up to fifty families there has been a maintenance of numbers, and even a growth in statistical terms in Fermoy, Co. Cork. Over half of the Presbyterian Church’s congregations outside Belfast average between 50 and 350 families. In this category, there has been an average loss of around 5 per cent; many stayed the same, but these gained or lost members. Again, about a quarter of Presbyterians were in large (over 350 families) congregations outside Belfast, averaging a loss of 14.5 per cent.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.005 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.007 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.065 | 0.014 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".