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Record W4205730193 · doi:10.1057/9780230593503_10

The Future

2008· book-chapter· en· W4205730193 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Sandra M. Baillie

Bibliographic record

VenuePalgrave Macmillan UK eBooks · 2008
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicIrish and British Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFellQuarter (Canadian coin)Audience measurementHistoryGenealogyDemographyGeographySociologyPolitical scienceLawCartographyArchaeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this chapter, respondents’ views on the future of Ireland and of the denomination are discussed. Morrow (2004) reports that when Presbyterians were asked about their expectations for the future there was a three-way division: 27 per cent were confident or optimistic; 20 per cent highlighted concerns; and 50 per cent failed to be convinced either way. McCartney (2004) tells the readership of the Presbyterian Herald of the loss of membership in the Church. In 1990, there were 106,669 families in the Presbyterian Church in Ireland, and thirteen years later there were 92,233 — a fall of 13.53 per cent or about 1 per cent per year. McCartney estimates that between 1990 and 2003 the average congregation fell from 192 to 168 families. Of the tiny congregations near the border (estimated number 114), with up to fifty families there has been a maintenance of numbers, and even a growth in statistical terms in Fermoy, Co. Cork. Over half of the Presbyterian Church’s congregations outside Belfast average between 50 and 350 families. In this category, there has been an average loss of around 5 per cent; many stayed the same, but these gained or lost members. Again, about a quarter of Presbyterians were in large (over 350 families) congregations outside Belfast, averaging a loss of 14.5 per cent.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Science and technology studies
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.695
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0030.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.251
Teacher spread0.235 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2008
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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