Brain Connectivity Changes in Postconcussion Syndrome as the Neural Substrate of a Heterogeneous Syndrome
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Postconcussion syndrome (PCS) or persistent symptoms of concussion refers to a constellation of symptoms that persist for weeks and months after a concussion. To better capture the heterogeneity of the symptoms of patients with PCS, we aimed to separate patients into clinical subtypes based on brain connectivity changes. Methods: Subject-specific structural and functional connectomes were created based on diffusion weighted and resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging, respectively. Following an informed dimensionality reduction, a Gaussian mixture model was used on patient-specific structural and functional connectivity matrices to find potential patient clusters. For validation, the resulting patient subtypes were compared in terms of cognitive, neuropsychiatric, and postconcussive symptom differences. Results: Multimodal analyses of brain connectivity were predictive of behavioral outcomes. Our modeling revealed two patient subtypes: mild and severe. The severe subgroup showed significantly higher levels of depression, anxiety, aggression, and a greater number of symptoms than the mild patient subgroup. Conclusion: This study suggests that structural and functional connectivity changes together can help us better understand the symptom severity and neuropsychiatric profiles of patients with PCS. This work allows us to move toward precision medicine in concussions and provides a novel machine learning approach that can be applicable to other heterogeneous conditions. Structural and functional brain connectivity of patients with postconcussion syndrome (PCS) are predictive of their behavioral outcomes. Taking a data-driven machine learning approach, we revealed two distinct clinical subtypes of patients: those with mild versus severe symptoms. Patients in the severe subtype reported higher levels of depression, anxiety, aggressive attitudes, and severe symptoms, whereas mild patients' symptom and brain connectivity profiles resemble healthy controls. This study does not only report clinical subtypes of PCS but also suggests that multimodal neuroimaging analysis of resting state and diffusion-weighted imaging together is more powerful than unimodal analyses in predicting neuropsychiatric symptoms and symptom severity of patients.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".