Instabilities in the Shallow-Water System with a Semi-Lagrangian, Time-Centered Discretization
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Conventional wisdom suggests that the combination of semi-Lagrangian advection and an implicit treatment of gravity wave terms should result in a combined scheme for the shallow-water equations stable for high Courant numbers. This wisdom is well justified by linear analysis of the system about a uniform reference state with constant fluid depth and velocity, but it is only assumed to hold true in more complex scenarios. This work finds that this conventional wisdom no longer holds in more complicated flow regimes, in particular when the background state is given by steady-state flow past topography. Instead, this background state admits a wide range of instabilities that can lead to noise in atmospheric forecasts. Significance Statement This work shows that solutions to the shallow-water equations with a semi-Lagrangian treatment of advection and an implicit, time-centered treatment of gravity wave terms can be unstable when there is a background state of flow over topography. This basic algorithm is used by many operational weather-forecasting models to simulate the meteorological equations, and showing an instability in the simplified, shallow-water system suggests that a similar mechanism may be responsible for “noise” in operational weather forecasts under some circumstances. If this problem can be addressed, it could allow numerical weather models to operate with less dissipation, improving forecast quality.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".