The Devil is Mainly in the Nuisance Parameters: Performance of Structural Fit Indices Under Misspecified Structural Models in SEM
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
To provide researchers with a means of assessing the fit of the structural component of structural equation models, structural fit indices- modifications of the composite fit indices, RMSEA, SRMR, and CFI- have recently been developed. We investigated the performance of four of these structural fit indices- RMSEA-P, RMSEA_S, SRMR_S, and CFI_S-, when paired with widely accepted cutoff values, in the service of detecting structural misspecification. In particular, by way of simulation study, for each of seven fit indices- 3 composite and 4 structural-, and the traditional chi-square test of perfect composite fit, we estimated the following rates: a) Type I error rate (i.e., the probability of (incorrect) rejection of a correctly specified structural component), under each of four degrees of misspecification in the measurement component; and b) Power (i.e., the probability of (correct) rejection of an incorrectly specified structural model), under each condition formed of the pairing of one of three degrees of structural misspecification with one of four degrees of measurement component misspecification. In addition to sample size, the impacts of two model features, incidental to model misspecification- number of manifest variables per latent variable and magnitude of factor loading- were investigated. The results suggested that, although the structural fit indices performed relatively better than the composite fit indices, none of the goodness-of-fit index with a fixed cutoff value pairings was capable of delivering an entirely satisfactory Type I error rate/Power balance, [RMSEA_S,.05] failing entirely in this regard. Of the remaining pairings; a) RMSEA-P and CFI_S suffered from a severely inflated Type I error rate; b) despite the fact that they were designed to pick up on structural features of candidate models, all pairings- and especially, RMSEA-P and CFI_S- manifested sensitivities to model features, incidental to structural misspecification; and c) although, in the main, behaving in a sensible fashion, SRMR_S was only sensitive to structural misspecification when it occurred at a relatively high degree.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it