A Social Uncertainty Principle with Application to Principal Agent Problems
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, I consider the complementarity of concrete and abstract construals, and show how it relates to problems of group coordination, specifically principal agent problems. I base this argument on evidence that the brain is composed of deeply interlocking layers which alternate in representing things concretely (direct correspondence to sensors), or abstractly (allowing for mental travel). I discuss how this complementarity, when applied to problems of collective behavior, leads to a social uncertainty principle in which a situation may not be modeled arbitrarily precisely both concretely and abstractly. Further, both abstract and concrete construals are intimately tied to action, the ultimate goal of any intelligent agent's neural system. The key message in this paper is that the complementarity between functional levels induces a collective choice of how uncertainty is managed in individual minds, and in enclosing or external groups, and leads to important differences in the cooperative behaviors of individuals and groups. I also describe a computational model of an instance of this process, and discuss the complementarity of principal agent problems.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.019 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.013 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.009 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.005 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".