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NAFTA in Mexico: What Worked? And What Did Not?

2022· article· en· W4210342455 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Dan Meylor, Kishore G. Kulkarni

Bibliographic record

VenueSAMVAD · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicBusiness, Innovation, and Economy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFree trade agreementInternational tradeEconomicsFree tradeInternational economicsPolitical scienceEconomyDevelopment economics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Mexico joined the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade in 1986 and less than a decade later joined the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with the United States and Canada in 1994. Before these trade liberalizing moves, Mexico had hit a few bumps in the road when it came to stimulating economic growth. Unfortunately, the post NAFTA world and especially the COVID-19 world have only left more bruises on Mexico’s economy. Most economists will agree that the Mexican economy is currently in struggling shape and that some positive effects of NAFTA did not help. The purpose of this paper is to point out the small handful of economic aspects from NAFTA that had a positive effect on Mexican Trade and the Mexican economy. After explaining each aspect of what worked and why it did not last, we will conclude with what we can learn from this and what can be changed looking forward.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.116
Threshold uncertainty score0.230

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.005
Science and technology studies0.0050.005
Scholarly communication0.0110.009
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0050.005
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.204
Teacher spread0.171 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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