Machine Learning to Assist in Large-Scale, Activity-Based Synthetic Cannabinoid Receptor Agonist Screening of Serum Samples
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Synthetic cannabinoid receptor agonists (SCRAs) are amongst the largest groups of new psychoactive substances (NPS). Their often high activity at the CB1 cannabinoid receptor frequently results in intoxication, imposing serious health risks. Hence, continuous monitoring of these compounds is important, but challenged by the rapid emergence of novel analogues that are missed by traditional targeted detection strategies. We addressed this need by performing an activity-based, universal screening on a large set (n = 968) of serum samples from patients presenting to the emergency department with acute recreational drug or NPS toxicity. METHODS: We assessed the performance of an activity-based method in detecting newly circulating SCRAs compared with liquid chromatography coupled to high-resolution mass spectrometry. Additionally, we developed and evaluated machine learning models to reduce the screening workload by automating interpretation of the activity-based screening output. RESULTS: Activity-based screening delivered outstanding performance, with a sensitivity of 94.6% and a specificity of 98.5%. Furthermore, the developed machine learning models allowed accurate distinction between positive and negative patient samples in an automatic manner, closely matching the manual scoring of samples. The performance of the model depended on the predefined threshold, e.g., at a threshold of 0.055, sensitivity and specificity were both 94.0%. CONCLUSION: The activity-based bioassay is an ideal candidate for untargeted screening of novel SCRAs. The combination of this universal screening assay and a machine learning approach for automated sample scoring is a promising complement to conventional analytical methods in clinical practice.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".