Bibliographic record
Abstract
<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> Methyl bromide (<span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span>) is a potent ozone-depleting substance (ODS) that has both natural and anthropogenic sources. <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> has been used mainly for preplant soil fumigation, post-harvest grain and timber fumigation, and structural fumigation. Most non-quarantine and pre-shipment (non-QPS) uses were phased out by 2005 for non-Article 5 (developed) countries and by 2015 for Article 5 (developing) countries under the Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer; some uses have continued under critical-use exemptions (CUEs). Under the protocol, individual nations are required to report annual data on <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> production and consumption for quarantineâpre-shipment (QPS) uses, non-QPS uses, and CUEs to the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). In this study, we analyzed high-precision, in situ measurements of atmospheric mole fractions of <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> obtained at the Gosan station on Jeju Island, South Korea, from 2008 to 2019. The background mole fractions of <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> in the atmosphere at Gosan declined from <span class="inline-formula">8.5±0.8</span>âppt (parts per trillion) in 2008 to <span class="inline-formula">7.4±0.6</span>âppt in 2019 at a rate of <span class="inline-formula"><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M8" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mo>-</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">0.13</mn><mo>±</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">0.02</mn></mrow></math><span><svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="64pt" height="10pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="0542a0c6fa095ebed628b4b0a60e60c7"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="acp-22-5157-2022-ie00001.svg" width="64pt" height="10pt" src="acp-22-5157-2022-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg></span></span>âpptâyr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>â1</sup></span>. At Gosan, we also observed periods of persistent mole fractions (pollution events) elevated above the decreasing background in continental air masses from China. Statistical back-trajectory analyses showed that these pollution events are predominantly traced back to <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> emissions from eastern China. Using an interspecies correlation (ISC) method with the reference trace species CFC-11 (<span class="inline-formula">CCl<sub>3</sub>F</span>), we estimate anthropogenic <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> emissions from eastern China at an average of <span class="inline-formula">4.1±1.3</span>âGgâyr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>â1</sup></span> in 2008â2019, approximately <span class="inline-formula">2.9±1.3</span>âGgâyr<span class="inline-formula"><sup>â1</sup></span> higher than the bottom-up emission estimates reported to UNEP. Possible non-fumigation <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> sources â rapeseed production and biomass burning â were assessed, and it was found that the discrepancy is most likely due to unreported or incorrectly reported QPS and non-QPS fumigation uses. These unreported anthropogenic emissions of <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> are confined to eastern China and account for 30â%â40â% of anthropogenic global <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> emissions. They are likely due to delays in the introduction of <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> alternatives, such as sulfuryl fluoride (<span class="inline-formula">SO<sub>2</sub>F<sub>2</sub></span>), heat, and irradiation, and a possible lack of industry awareness of the need for regulation of <span class="inline-formula">CH<sub>3</sub>Br</span> production and use.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.181 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; both teacher heads agree on what is shown here.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".