Differential expression of a brain aging biomarker across discrete chronic pain disorders
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ABSTRACT: Chronic pain has widespread, detrimental effects on the human nervous system and its prevalence and burden increase with age. Machine learning techniques have been applied on brain images to produce statistical models of brain aging. Specifically, the Gaussian process regression is particularly effective at predicting chronological age from neuroimaging data which permits the calculation of a brain age gap estimate (brain-AGE). Pathological biological processes such as chronic pain can influence brain-AGE. Because chronic pain disorders can differ in etiology, severity, pain frequency, and sex-linked prevalence, we hypothesize that the expression of brain-AGE may be pain specific and differ between discrete chronic pain disorders. We built a machine learning model using T1-weighted anatomical MRI from 812 healthy controls to extract brain-AGE for 45 trigeminal neuralgia (TN), 52 osteoarthritis (OA), and 50 chronic low back pain (BP) subjects. False discovery rate corrected Welch t tests were conducted to detect significant differences in brain-AGE between each discrete pain cohort and age-matched and sex-matched controls. Trigeminal neuralgia and OA, but not BP subjects, have significantly larger brain-AGE. Across all 3 pain groups, we observed female-driven elevation in brain-AGE. Furthermore, in TN, a significantly larger brain-AGE is associated with response to Gamma Knife radiosurgery for TN pain and is inversely correlated with the age at diagnosis. As brain-AGE expression differs across distinct pain disorders with a pronounced sex effect for female subjects. Younger women with TN may therefore represent a vulnerable subpopulation requiring expedited chronic pain intervention. To this end, brain-AGE holds promise as an effective biomarker of pain treatment response.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".