Temperature dependent developmental time for the larva stage of Aedes aegypti
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We first verify that the time from the emergence of larva to the emergence of pupa (i.e., the duration of the larva stage) for Aedes aegypti is approximately gamma distributed, provided that the pupation process is successful. This is illustrated by fitting a multi-stage model to temperature-controlled pupation rate data of Aedes aegypti. We then determine the temperature dependent gamma distribution parameters, and found that both the shape and rate parameters and the survival probability are unimodal functions of temperature. We then use a Gaussian unimodal function to describe the dependence of these parameters on temperature, and fit the model to the pupation rate data. We found that the optimal pupation temperature is about 28℃, with a mean time from the emergence of larva to the emergence of pupa about 3.8 days, and standard deviation of 0.5 days. For very high and very low temperatures, the death rate is 1.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".