A novel EEG marker predicts perceived sleepiness and poor sleep quality
Bibliographic record
Abstract
STUDY OBJECTIVES: To determine if a novel EEG-derived continuous index of sleep depth/alertness, the odds ratio product (ORP), predicts self-reported daytime sleepiness and poor sleep quality in two large population-based cohorts. METHODS: ORP values which range from 0 (deep sleep) to 2.5 (fully alert) were calculated in 3s intervals during awake periods (ORPwake) and NREM sleep (ORPNREM) determined from home sleep studies in the HypnoLaus (N = 2162: 1106 females, 1056 males) and men androgen inflammation lifestyle environment and stress (MAILES) cohorts (N = 754 males). Logistic regression was used to examine associations between ORPwake, ORPNREM, and traditional polysomnography measures (as comparators) with excessive sleepiness (Epworth sleepiness scale >10) and poor sleep quality (Pittsburgh sleep quality index >5) and insomnia symptoms. RESULTS: High ORPwake was associated with a ~30% increase in poor sleep quality in both HypnoLaus (odds ratio, OR, and 95% CI) 1.28 (1.09, 1.51), and MAILES 1.36 (1.10, 1.68). High ORPwake was also associated with a ~28% decrease in excessive daytime sleepiness in the MAILES dataset. ORPNREM was associated with a ~30% increase in poor sleep quality in HypnoLaus but not in MAILES. No consistent associations across cohorts were detected using traditional polysomnography markers. CONCLUSIONS: ORP, a novel EEG-derived metric, measured during wake periods predicts poor sleep quality in two independent cohorts. Consistent with insomnia symptomatology of poor perceived sleep in the absence of excessive daytime sleepiness, ORPwake may provide valuable objective mechanistic insight into physiological hyperarousal.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.009 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".