Historical buttressing effects on present-day Dotson and Crosson Ice Shelf dynamics
Bibliographic record
Abstract
For almost three decades, the Dotson and Crosson Ice Shelves have withstood various degrees of velocity increases, basal melt, weakening shear margins, and grounding line retreat. The two ice shelves, located along the Amundsen Sea Embayment, are fed primarily by Kohler, Smith, and Pope Glaciers. The ice shelves were once thought to be separated by a landmass connecting Bear Island to the mainland, but there is no evidence from 75 years of available data supporting this partition. Recent research shows that the changes in dynamics undergone by both ice shelves and their outlet glaciers are due largely to basal melt driven by warm circumpolar deep water (CDW); however, the scope of those changes varies between the two sectors with the Crosson Ice Shelf experiencing the more extreme transformation. Observations from trimetrogon aerial imagery (late-1940s) and Landsat Thematic Mapper data (mid-1980s) reveal the northern edge of the Crosson Ice Shelf terminating at Holt Glacier and its southeastern edge buttressing against Haynes Glacier. Studies show that in the mid-1980s, a decrease in sea ice concentrations led to the migration of the detached Thwaites Ice Tongue which, with fast ice, aided in containing fragments of Thwaites Glaciers—around this time the retreat of Haynes Glacier’s ice tongue also began. We hypothesize it is this decrease in buttressing from ~35 years ago that began a continuous trend (still observed today) in ice shelf thinning, initiation of rifts, and outlet glacier speed increases and grounding line retreats. In contrast, the Dotson Ice Shelf is flanked by Bear Island and Martin Peninsula and has undergone less dramatic alterations in dynamics than the Crosson Ice Shelf. We quantify the impact of buttressing on the two connected ice shelves with the following analyses: extended temporal scale of outlet glacier hypsometry from 1960-the present; detailed 16-year study of grounding line migrations and hydrostatic equilibrium boundaries using CReSIS MCoRDS/2 level one data; estimated shear stresses from multi-year velocities; modeled back stresses acting on both ice shelves. Results of this study will help to improve modeling ocean-ice sheet interactions and better constrain CDW impacts.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".