Seasonal cycle of the overturning circulation in the subpolar North Atlantic
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Understanding the mechanisms driving variability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) on different timescales is essential for better predictions of our evolving climate. The newly updated time series (August 2014 to June 2020) from OSNAP (Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program) continues to reveal strong intra-annual and interannual variability. However, this six-year record allows us, for the first time, to examine the observation-based seasonal variability of the subpolar overturning circulation. We find that the overturning peaks in late spring from April through June and reaches the minimum in winter for both OSNAP West (a section from the coast of Labrador to West Greenland) and OSNAP East (a section from East Greenland to the Scottish shelf). An analysis of seasonality in the Labrador Sea (OSNAP West) suggests that the delay between wintertime transformation and the observed overturning peak in late spring is consistent with the advection and export of dense Labrador Sea Water along the western boundary. Further analysis is required to understand the mechanism driving seasonal overturning across OSNAP East.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".