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Record W4220875483 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu22-7991

Total ozone loss during the 2021/22 Arctic winter and comparison to previous years

2022· preprint· en· W4220875483 on OpenAlexaff
Andréa Pazmiño, F. Goutail, Jean‐Pierre Pommereau, Franck Lefèvre, Sophie Godin‐Beekmann, Alain Hauchecorne, Audrey Lecouffe, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Wuhu Feng, Michel Van Roozendaël, Nis Jepsen, Georg Hansen, Rigel Kivi, Ramina Alwarda, Kimberly Strong, Kaley A. Walker

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicAtmospheric Ozone and Climate
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsOzoneArcticOzone depletionEnvironmental scienceAtmospheric sciencesClimatologyPolar vortexThe arcticMeteorologyPhysicsOceanographyGeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The amplitude and rate of ozone depletion in the Arctic is monitored every year since 1994 by comparison between SAOZ UV-Vis ground-based network from NDACC and Multi-Sensor Reanalysis 2 (MSR-2) total ozone measurements over 8 stations in the Arctic and 3-D chemical transport model simulations in which ozone is considered as a passive tracer. The passive ozone method allows determining the cumulative loss at the end of the winter. The amplitude of the destruction varies between 0-10% in relatively warm and short vortex duration years to 25-38% in colder and longer ones, which the record winters estimated in 2010/2011 and 2019/2020. In this study, the interannual variability of 10-days average rate of 2021/2022 winter will be analyzed and compared to previous years. In addition, SAOZ NO2 data will be used to evaluate re-noxification in the Arctic. The long-term ozone loss series estimated from measurements will be compared to REPROBUS and SLIMCAT CTM simulations. Relationship with illuminated Polar Stratospheric Clouds will be also presented.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.056
Threshold uncertainty score0.111

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.236
Teacher spread0.223 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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