Total cost of testing for genomic alterations associated with next-generation sequencing versus polymerase chain reaction testing strategies among patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To assess the total cost of testing associated with next-generation sequencing (NGS) versus polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing strategies among patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC) from a Medicare and US commercial payer's perspective. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A decision tree model considered testing for genomic alterations in EGFR, ALK, ROS1, BRAF, KRAS, MET, HER2, RET, NTRK1 among patients with newly diagnosed mNSCLC using (1) liquid or tissue biopsy NGS tests, (2) exclusionary mutation (KRAS) test followed by sequential PCR tests, (3) sequential PCR tests, or (4) hotspot panel PCR tests. The alteration test sequence followed clinical guideline recommendations. Inputs based on literature, expert opinion, or assumptions included prevalence of mNSCLC, proportion of patients using each testing strategy (50% NGS [90% tissue, 10% liquid], 10% exclusionary, 10% sequential, 30% hotspot), proportion testing positive for each genomic mutation, rebiopsy rates, and costs for testing and associated medical care. Time to appropriate targeted therapy initiation and total costs were calculated for NGS, each PCR testing strategy, and all PCR strategies combined. RESULTS: Among a hypothetical plan of 1,000,000 members (75% commercial, 25% Medicare), 1,119 patients were estimated to have mNSCLC and be eligible for testing. Estimated mean time to appropriate targeted therapy was 2 weeks for NGS and 6 weeks for PCR (sequential: 9 weeks, exclusionary: 8 weeks, hotspot: 3 weeks). Mean per patient costs were $4,932 for NGS and $6,605 for PCR (exclusionary: $5,563, sequential: $6,263, hotspot: $7,066). Per patient costs were higher from a commercial perspective (NGS: $6,225; PCR: $8,430) relative to Medicare (NGS: $2,099; PCR: $2,646); nevertheless, NGS was the least costly testing strategy across plan types. CONCLUSION: NGS was associated with the fastest time to appropriate targeted therapy initiation and lowest total cost of testing compared to PCR testing strategies for newly diagnosed patients with mNSCLC.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".