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Record W4221026070 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu22-6840

A Plausible Explanation for Common Fractal Temporal-Spectral Slopes of Drainage Flows and Chemistries at Full-Scale Mining Operations

2022· preprint· en· W4221026070 on OpenAlexaff
Kevin A. Morin

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicEarthquake Detection and Analysis
Canadian institutionsAgnico Eagle (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFractalPhysicsHydrology (agriculture)GeologyMathematicsGeotechnical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

<p>Where full-scale minesite-drainage monitoring has been carried out at sufficiently high sampling frequencies and long durations, interesting and intriguing patterns have been seen in the time series.  Some observations include: flow rates and aqueous concentrations of minesite drainages are not simple or steady; they are not stochastic, but also not deterministic; they are not random or chaotic. They display periodicity in complex ways.</p><p>Based on spectral analyses of time series for minesite drainages as well as for non-mining-related rivers and catchments, the typical trend is decreasing spectral power of the peaks with decreasing wavelength.  The resulting slopes are commonly fractal, typically ranging between zero (random) to 2 (random walk).  The slope of 1 ("1-over-f") is the most complex and yet has been documented in many sciences and arts.  These fractal slopes are “ubiquitous” in some non-mining catchments.</p><p>Consistent with Earth-System Science, electrical fields in the Earth are inevitably linked to other processes like large and small physical movements, magnetic variations in the earth, weather systems, and cosmic radiation.  For example, the movement of natural water through a porous or fractured medium can create an electrical field that in turn affects the distribution of ions in that water.  Small changes in ground electrical potential, considered minor background electrical "noise" by some, can significantly affect aqueous chemistry.</p><p>This study asks the question, “Why?”  Why are fractal spectral slopes so common in drainage flows and chemistries whenever data have been sufficient to search for them?</p><p>A plausible answer begins with the fact that many minesite components are open systems in the surficial environment, well grounded to the earth which behaves like an electrical capacitor.  Thus, relatively large minesite components can act as first-order low-pass signal filters.  These filters cause the spectral powers of individual periodicities entering them to (1) decrease along a fractal slope of 2 at wavelengths shorter than the "cutoff wavelength" and (2) remain unfiltered at longer wavelengths.  When several mechanisms are simultaneously acting and overlapping as low-pass filters, fractal slopes including 1-over-f slopes can appear.  Based on this rationale, periodic processes grounded to the Earth can show fractal temporal slopes when sufficient data are collected.</p>

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.628
Threshold uncertainty score0.991

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.239
Teacher spread0.222 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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