Mechanisms of Short-Duration Heavy Rainfall in the Western Pacific Subtropical High Area: An Analysis of Two Rainstorms of 2018 in Hunan Province, China
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study examines two short-duration heavy rainfall cases of 2018 in Hunan province, China, using observations and the NCEP FNL analyses. Short-duration heavy rainfall occurring in the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) area is one of the major natural hazards during spring and summer over the middle reaches of the Yangtze River basin. Rainstorms in the two cases selected showed high echo-top height but low storm centroid elevation, resembling the “low-echo centroid” structure. Weak vertical shear was observed in the mid-lower troposphere, thereby leading to a short life cycle of storms. Before the heavy rainfall events, in addition to substantial changes in convective available potential energy (CAPE) and convective inhibition (CIN), both cases were characterized by a lack of troughs and jet streams in the middle and upper troposphere over the middle reaches of the Yangtze River basin. A proper configuration of the WPSH extending to the middle reaches of the Yangtze River basin along with low-level synoptic systems (e.g. a surface convergence line or the cold air invading) favoured moisture supply and lifting mechanisms for convection and the rainstorms. During the hot afternoon hours, the thermals forming at the surface further enhanced convection and the rainstorms.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".