Joint constraints on reionization: A framework for combining the global 21 cm signal and the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel’dovich effect
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Recent measurements from the CMB and from high-redshift galaxy observations have placed rough constraints on the midpoint and duration of the epoch of reionization. Detailed measurements of the ionization history remain elusive, although two proposed probes show great promise for this purpose: the 21 cm global signal and the kinetic Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (kSZ) effect. We formally confirm the common assumption that these two probes are highly complementary, with the kSZ being more sensitive to extended ionization histories and the global signal to rapidly evolving ones. We do so by performing a Karhunen-Lo\`eve (KL) transformation, which casts the data in a basis designed to emphasize the information content of each probe. We find that reconstructing the ionization history using both probes gives significantly more precise results than individual constraints, although carefully chosen, physically motivated priors play a crucial part in obtaining a bias-free reconstruction. Additionally, in the KL basis, measurements from one probe can be used to detect the presence of residual systematics in the other, providing a safeguard against systematics that would go undetected when data from each probe is analyzed in isolation. Once detected, the modes contaminated by systematics can be discarded from the data analysis to avoid biases in reconstruction.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".