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Record W4230269022 · doi:10.1353/utq.2010.0206

Politics in Manitoba: Parties, Leaders, and Voters (review)

2010· article· en· W4230269022 on OpenAlexvenueaboutno aff
Nelson Wiseman

Bibliographic record

VenueUniversity of Toronto Quarterly · 2010
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCanadian Identity and History
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPoliticsEthnic groupState (computer science)Political scienceHistoryLawMedia studiesSociologyEconomic history

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Reviewed by: Politics in Manitoba: Parties, Leaders, and Voters Nelson Wiseman (bio) Christopher Adams . Politics in Manitoba: Parties, Leaders, and Voters. University of Manitoba Press. xii, 234. $24.95 Full disclosure: I know the author from two academic conferences and a still unpublished review I wrote of this book for Canadian Ethnic Studies. The spotlight in that review was on what the book told us of the interplay of ethnicity and party politics in Manitoba. The attention in the present review might be to the book's contribution to Canadian letters. In recent decades, provincial politics have garnered increased attention as the academic community has grown and specialized studies have proliferated. Journalists have also contributed with the appearance of biographies of successful provincial regimes and significant provincial politicians such as Elijah (the Harper of Meech Lake fame) by Pauline Comeau. Forthcoming too have been autobiographies by politicians such as Duff Roblin's Speaking for Myself and Sharon Carstairs's Not One of the Boys. Feeding interest in provincial politics has been the explosive growth of the provincial state, which delivers most of the social programs and physical infrastructure that Canadians demand and expect. Prince Edward Island and Manitoba are the two provinces that have received the least attention by academics, although W.L. Morton's now half-century-old magisterial Manitoba: A History once commanded a special status among provincial histories. The contribution of Christopher Adams's book, much less ambitious, shines light on the three provincial parties: the Conservatives, Liberals, and NDP (and its Labour-CCF predecessors). By offering chapters on the parties' histories, Adams does the student of Manitoba politics a service because the literature on the Conservatives and Liberals is sparse. Two parties that have also had representation in Manitoba's legislature, Social Credit and the Communists, receive virtually no attention. The author is more of a political scientist of the behavioural persuasion with a quantitative orientation than he is a historian. Drawing on his work as the research director for a firm that conducts survey research, Adams presents data gathered between 1999 and 2007. They reveal the socio-demographic and attitudinal bases of partisan support. The Conservatives, as in federal politics, do better among male and rural voters than among women and those in large cities. Pronounced NDP support comes from women, the poor, and northerners. Businesspeople and those in senior managerial positions gravitate disproportionately to the Conservatives, while the NDP is more attractive to middle-income [End Page 518] earners and those in lower-status service and labour occupations. A good number of voters in both the Conservative and NDP camps support the federal Liberals, but the chronic weakness of their provincial kin, who hold only two of fifty-seven legislative seats, leads these voters to vote strategically, to cast their lot with the two dominant provincial parties. Adams underplays the ideological polarization of the party system. The NDP's website, for example, asserts, 'We wish to create a society where individuals give according to their abilities, and receive according to their needs,' and, 'Our society must change from one based on competition to one based on cooperation.' Some Conservative leaders in the past, still employing the rhetoric of the 1919 Winnipeg General Strike, have accused the NDP of propagating an alien ideology imported from nineteenth-century Europe. Nevertheless, the NDP has held office in each of the last five decades and Manitobans no longer fear the socialist bogey. Adams's survey data may date very quickly, but the geographic and ideological contours of Manitoba politics that they highlight have been remarkably persistent over the years. Influenced by the work of V.O. Key, the author focuses on what he considers 'critical elections' that mark a significant disjuncture with the past in the electorate's preferences. Adams concludes by presenting a generic schema that incorporates long-term influences, such as historically important events and long-standing values, and short-term influences such as the dynamics of a given election campaign. This book is a useful workmanlike contribution to the small but growing bookshelf devoted to Manitoba politics. Nelson Wiseman Nelson Wiseman, Department of Political Science, University of Toronto Copyright © 2010 University of Toronto Press Incorporated...

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: Review
Teacher disagreement score0.613
Threshold uncertainty score0.769

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.010
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0100.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.206
Teacher spread0.194 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2010
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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Same venueUniversity of Toronto QuarterlySame topicCanadian Identity and HistoryFrench-language works237,207