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Record W4231217640 · doi:10.3138/cpp.35.1.41

The Regulation of Poll Reporting in Canada

2009· article· en· W4231217640 on OpenAlexaffvenueabout
Tania Gosselin, François Pétry

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Public Policy · 2009
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicElectoral Systems and Political Participation
Canadian institutionsUniversité LavalUniversité du Québec à Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPollingPublicationGlobePolitical scienceOpinion pollPublic relationsGeneral electionAdvertisingBusinessPublic opinionPoliticsComputer sciencePsychologyLaw

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Canada Elections Act of 2000 regulates how the media must disclose the technical information regarding election polls. But the media coverage of non-election polls remains self-regulated. We examine how the technical information regarding election and non-election polling is reported in stories published by La Presse, the Globe and Mail, and the Calgary Herald. Our results show that, although media disclosure falls well short of the polling industry's standards, the technical information surrounding non-election polls is at least as complete as the information accompanying election polls. Long articles about polls sponsored by the media that publish them provide significantly more methodological information than short articles in which polls sponsored by “outside” organizations are mentioned in passing. These findings indicate that poll-reporting routines are relatively impervious to standards and rules regulating how poll results should be communicated to the public.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.045
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.133
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.125
Threshold uncertainty score0.909

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0450.133
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0060.010
Science and technology studies0.0130.006
Scholarly communication0.0090.001
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.051
GPT teacher head0.336
Teacher spread0.285 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2009
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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