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Record W4232609382 · doi:10.55365/1923.x2021.19.34

Asset allocation by Unsupervised Learning

2021· article· en· W4232609382 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Ismail Lotfi, MEGZARI Lamiae

Bibliographic record

VenueReview of Economics and Finance · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDiversification (marketing strategy)PortfolioAsset allocationModern portfolio theoryComputer scienceBlack–Litterman modelReplicating portfolioPortfolio optimizationPost-modern portfolio theoryAsset (computer security)Capital asset pricing modelUnsupervised learningActuarial scienceArtificial intelligenceEconomicsEconometricsFinancial economicsBusinessMarketing

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Modern portfolio theory is closely linked to the concept of diversification. As a result, the most important decision of investor is to make his allocation asset portfolio more and more efficient. Thus, for a given level of risk, the investor seeks to maximise the expected return and minimise the risk by constructing an optimal portfolio. In this paper, we seek to know how unsupervised learning can be used to define the asset allocation strategy. In this sense, we have carried out a comparative study between a so-called classical portfolio, which is based on the modern portfolio theory (i.e. a portfolio constructed on the basis of numerical optimisation) and a portfolio based on unsupervised learning. The aim of this comparison is to look for the best performing method that can give the best asset allocation. Our findings show that the optimal strategy for an ambitious investor lies to the unsupervised learning algorithms that allow a dynamic analysis of portfolio. However, the optimal strategy for a risk-averse investor is still the numerical optimisation approach.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.003
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Other design · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.985
Threshold uncertainty score0.512

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0030.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.083
GPT teacher head0.365
Teacher spread0.282 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designOther design
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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