India's new economic council can weather lower growth
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Significance India’s poor growth run continued for a second quarter in April-June, the first quarter of the 2017-18 fiscal year (FY2017-18). Gross value added (GVA) was 5.6%, the slowest in almost four years. A plethora of factors, including de-stocking prior to the launch of a goods and services tax (GST) contributed. Investment has been weak for much of the past year while consumer spending has also slowed. Additionally, the stronger rupee has hit exporters' competitiveness, weighing on exports. Impacts If consumption does not pick up, a downward spiral could ensue, with capital outflows weakening both activity and financial markets. The government’s position remains strong, winning the Uttar Pradesh state elections earlier in 2017 despite the demonetisation shock. Medium-term growth prospects are stronger as gains from structural reforms including the GST and infrastructure spending will take effect.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.010 | 0.005 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.005 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.008 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.122 | 0.044 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".