Further Mexico rate reductions look likely
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Significance The move follows reports from the National Institute of Statistics on August 23 that GDP had grown by just 0.02% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter (Q2) of 2019. With Q1 having shown a negative figure, Mexico narrowly avoided recession. The results confirm a sharp economic slowdown since the second half of 2018. On August 15, Banxico lowered its target interest rate by 25 basis points to 8.0%. Impacts The monetary loosening should reduce the temptation of some legislators to alter Banxico’s mandate in the pursuit of economic growth. Given the sharp economic slowdown, the monetary loosening will probably have only a marginal impact on credit. With inflation falling, real interest rates are increasing, and should continue to act as a brake on economic activity.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.004 | 0.006 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.169 | 0.045 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".