Canada climate push may erode Trudeau's electoral base
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Subject Trudeau government's climate policy and politics. Significance Canada's Liberal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is sending mixed signals on climate policy. Canada ratified the Paris climate accord on October 5, following the government's conditional decision on September 27 to approve a controversial natural gas liquefaction and export facility in British Columbia. Meanwhile, Trudeau has upset federal-provincial relations by announcing that a federally mandated price on carbon will come into effect by 2018. Impacts Canada's regulatory approach may create opportunities for firms focused on upstream emissions reductions. Blockage of export-orientated energy infrastructure could build political pressure for approval of internal projects. Provincial elections in 2018 could be an early indicator of the Trudeau government's ability to retain electoral support. China will be closely watching Trudeau's ability to push through pipeline projects, with diplomatic and trade implications.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.018 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.007 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.077 | 0.005 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".