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Record W4244891200 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-56044/v1

Evaluation of the Solar Quiet Reference Field (SQRF) Model for Space Weather Applications in the South America Magnetic Anomaly

2020· preprint· en· W4244891200 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Sony Su Chen, C. M. Denardini, L. C. A. Resende, Ronan Arraes Jardim Chagas, Juliano Moro, Régia P. Silva, C. S. Carmo, Giórgio Arlan da Silva Picanço

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicIonosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNatural Resources CanadaNuclear Safety and Security CommissionConselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e TecnológicoHelmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam - Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZMinistério da Ciência, Tecnologia e InovaçãoMinisterio de Economía y CompetitividadChinese Academy of SciencesCoordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior
KeywordsQUIETSpace weatherAnomaly (physics)MeteorologyMagnetic anomalyField (mathematics)GeophysicsSpace (punctuation)Magnetic fieldPhysicsEnvironmental scienceGeodesyGeologyComputer scienceAstronomyMathematicsCondensed matter physics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract In the present work, we evaluate the accuracy of the Solar Quiet Reference Field (SQRF) model for forecasting and predicting the geomagnetic solar quiet (Sq) daily field variation in the South America Magnetic Anomaly (SAMA) region. The model simulates the monthly average horizontal field of the geomagnetic quiet (Sq-H) daily variation solving a set of functional fitting equations for the specified geographic coordinates. We carried out two comparisons between the simulated and observational data of the Sq-H field. The first part attempts to evaluate the accuracy for predicting the Sq-H field over Medianeira (25.30°S, 54.11°W, dip angle: -33.45°) by using linear interpolation on the SQRF coefficients. The second part of the analysis attempts to evaluate the accuracy for forecasting the quiet daily field variation over Cachoeira Paulista (22.70°S, 45.01°W, dip angle: -38.48°). The results of the simulation for both locations show that this empirical model presents a good agreement with the Sq-H field obtained from the magnetic field data. The accuracy of the SQRF model (high correlation, r>0.9) provides a high potential for estimating and forecasting geomagnetic quiet daily field variation for space weather applications. Therefore, this model could be useful in the Sq-H field regions near of SAMA.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.080
Threshold uncertainty score0.159

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.081
GPT teacher head0.373
Teacher spread0.292 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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