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Record W4247954953 · doi:10.1890/1540-9295-13.4.180

Dispatches

2015· review· en· W4247954953 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
ESA

Bibliographic record

VenueFrontiers in Ecology and the Environment · 2015
Typereview
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicBioenergy crop production and management
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBiofuelBoomLand useEnvironmental scienceAgricultural economicsAgricultureRenewable energyAgroforestryGeographyEcologyEconomicsEnvironmental engineeringArchaeology

Abstract

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The biofuels boom has boosted US corn and soybean cultivation to record levels, but has this expansion come at the cost of damaging more land? According to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), the net acreage of cropland has increased negligibly since biofuels became popular. However, a new study shows that USDA's net measure masks the fact that farmers are shifting crops onto undisturbed grasslands at high rates while retiring existing cropland (Environ Res Lett 2015; doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044003). To prevent the biofuel gold rush from destroying natural habitat and releasing carbon stored in soils, the US Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) withholds “renewable credits” for feedstocks grown on land that had not been farmed before 2007, says Tyler Lark, lead author of the study and a land-change scientist at the University of Wisconsin–Madison (Madison, WI). The US Environmental Protection Agency relies on the USDA's net annual cropland acreage to monitor compliance with the RFS. Yet Lark suspected that there were undetected changes underlying the static net USDA figures. US farmers are taking over undisturbed grasslands to grow biofuels. Lark and his team analyzed a new USDA satellite-based map that recorded nationwide crop cover for each year since 2008. Integrating other land-cover databases, the researchers tracked the expansion and abandonment of farmland from 2008 to 2012, coinciding with the biofuel boom. The scientists found that 7.34 million acres of land nationwide, an area roughly the size of Maryland, had been converted to crop production during that time period. Nearly 80% of the new cropland came from prairie, pasture, and hay fields. “If you convert native prairie to cropland, it's nearly impossible to regain the biodiversity and carbon-storage capacity that's lost upon tilling”, Lark says. Over the course of the study, the researchers estimated that the carbon emissions associated with converting the land to grow corn and soybeans could be equivalent to a year's worth of CO2 releases from 34 coal-fired power plants. Lark explains that the widespread expansion of farmland could not be seen from the total net figures because while farmers expanded cultivation, they abandoned 4.36 million acres of existing cropland, much of it destined for a conservation program. “The study hints that renewable fuel policies may be generating an unintended, but substantial, carbon debt”, says Chris Wright, a landscape ecologist at the University of Minnesota–Duluth (Duluth, MN). The findings support the need for enforcing the RFS feedstock provisions through a spatially explicit framework and broadening policies that discourage grassland conversion, he concludes. Even in the remote high latitudes, humans' environmental impacts extend far into the past. One way to observe these long-term impacts – short of making a yearly pilgrimage to the northern shores of Canada – is to study Arctic specimens housed in museums. A group of researchers led by Alex Bond (a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon) used this strategy to look at changes in ivory gull (Pagophila eburnea) mercury exposure over the past 130 years (P R Soc B 2015; doi:10.1098/rspb.2015.0032). “Ivory gulls scavenge on dead marine mammals – things like seals that polar bears have killed, or beached whales – so they really are at the top of the food chain”, Bond explains. This makes the birds especially vulnerable to pollutants that accumulate in body tissues – such as mercury, which is released into the environment by burning coal and through other industrial processes. Bond and his colleagues tested feather samples from museum-stored specimens dating back to the year 1877 for methyl mercury, a toxic form of the metal that builds up in living gulls' tissues and feathers as they consume mercury-contaminated food. The researchers also used stable-isotope analysis to assess whether changes in the birds' diet could have affected mercury intake. Bond explains that “over that time, the gulls' diet hadn't changed at all – but mercury concentrations in the adults went up by a factor of 45, about 1.6% a year”. Mercury concentrations are also increasing in other Arctic wildlife but not to this extent. High levels of the metal can make it difficult for ivory gulls, currently listed as near threatened by the IUCN, to successfully rear their young due in part to eggshell thinning. So this rapidly increasing mercury intake may be contributing to the species' observed decline – an 80% decrease in numbers since the 1980s, which has left only ~500 breeding pairs in the Canadian Arctic. Like the ivory gull, natural-history collections are declining, thereby limiting researchers' ability to look into the past. “We couldn't have done it without museum collections”, admits Bond. “For us to go up there every year to collect ivory gulls would have been completely impossible.” Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government, in place since May 2014, has decided to relax environmental regulations for industries and has slashed the annual budget earmarked for environmental protection. The Indian Ministry of Environment, Forests and Climate Change (MOEFCC) has been allocated nearly 20% less funding for 2015–2016 as compared to the last fiscal year. As a result, less money will be available for specific conservation projects such as “Project Tiger”, and for environmental research in general. In its drive to promote India as a manufacturing destination, to attract foreign investment, and to facilitate faster approval of projects requiring environmental impact assessments (EIAs), the government has eased environmental regulations. In April, MOEFCC published standard “terms of reference” for conducting EIAs for 39 types of industry and infrastructure projects, which – according to Environment Minister Prakash Javadekar – will reduce the time required for project approval from 1 year to 30 days. “The focus is on weakening environmental governance, and making compliance easy and appraisal less rigorous”, points out Himanshu Thakkar, head of the South Asia Network on Dams, Rivers and People (New Delhi, India); “for instance, EIA terms for river valley and hydro projects do not cover climate-change-related impacts or account for possibilities of [natural] disasters”. Safety clauses, such as those requiring mandatory consent by local communities before initiation of large projects in forested areas, have been removed. New projects in proximity to national parks and sanctuaries no longer require approval from the National Board for Wildlife. “The thrust is clear: promotion of industries, mega-projects, economic zones, and dams – at any cost”, warns Ritwick Dutta (EIA Resource and Response Centre, New Delhi). MOEFCC has proposed further reforms in environmental laws, including those pertaining to forest and biodiversity protection. The ministry plans to implement recommendations from a review panel – detailed in the 2014 “Report of the High Level Committee to Review Various Acts Administered by the MOEFCC” (http://bit.ly/1FQBWEb) – suggesting establishment of a new regulatory system based on “self-certification” by industry. “While environmental decision making needs to be reformed, the objective should be to safeguard public interest and the environment, and not to promote economic growth that causes irreversible ecological damage”, says Leo Saldanha, coordinator of Environment Support Group (Bangalore, India). Dutta fears that The National Green Tribunal, which is the current appellate authority for all “green” clearances, will be rendered powerless if the panel's suggested reforms are accepted. “This report is designed to dismantle the very foundation of the environmental justice system in India”, he concludes. Twenty threatened species native to Australia may have won the lottery for survival under a conservation management plan that – for the first time – estimates the cost of their recovery. Zoos Victoria (Melbourne) released the AU$30 million, 5-year plan in March in an appeal for donors to cover the AU$20 million shortfall in its Fighting Extinction budget. The plan includes captive breeding, habitat restoration, and monitoring recovery. “Zoos are like ‘intensive care units’ for wildlife”, explains Director of Conservation Rachel Lowry (Zoos Victoria, Melbourne). “Species often don't come into zoos until they're really in trouble, and often we're called in too late. We needed to be proactive and examine the trajectory of endangered species. Once we did this, it became clear what we had to do.” But the plan has sparked debate about the best use of scarce funds. Although its 20 priority species are iconic and charismatic, Australia has more than 1760 endangered animals and plants. Conservation scientist Hugh Possingham (University of Queensland, Brisbane) agrees that the clear, cost-specific plan is a big step forward, but he advocates a rigorous triage approach: prioritizing conservation on the basis of extinction and recovery likelihood, costs, and taxonomic and ecological importance, as well as on the “public care” factor. “What offends people about triage is that we're being transparent about which species we choose to spend money on, and why. When the global rate of extinction is 1000 times the background rate, then whatever we're doing now isn't working very well. New Zealand is now conserving more than twice as many species as before, using this cost-effective approach.” On the positive side, triage lays bare the true cost to society if it wants to halt extinction; in Australia's case, this amounts to AU$200 million a year. “It sounds like a lot, but it's chicken feed”, continues Possingham. “It's 1% of the annual defense budget, or three cappuccinos per person per year.” Worth saving? Eastern barred bandicoots (Perameles gunnii) are extinct in the wild on mainland Australia. As it is, even the Zoos Victoria plan provides no guarantees for its chosen species. Ecologist David Lindenmayer (Australian National University, Canberra) notes that AU$4 million for breeding and habitat restoration will not save Leadbeater's possum (Gymnobelideus leadbeateri), for example, unless the interrelated threats of logging and fire are addressed. “Documents like this are a good start, but they don't tackle the real drivers of extinction”, he warns. Ponds in the Arctic tundra are disappearing, according to a recent study (J Geophys Res-Biogeo 2015; doi:10.1002/2014JG002778). Using historical photographs and satellite images taken between 1948 and 2010, researchers analyzed 2800 ponds in the northern region of Alaska's Barrow Peninsula. Over time, the number of ponds decreased by about 17%, while pond size shrank by an average of 33%. Warming temperatures are to blame – directly and indirectly. Ponds dry up due to heat, but the warming permafrost also releases nutrients into the water, encouraging plant growth. As a result, the gradual process of small ponds transforming into lakes is hampered. “If these changes continue over time, species – especially threatened and endangered waterfowl such as the Steller's eider (Polysticta stelleri) – could potentially be affected”, says study author Christian Andresen, a postdoctoral fellow at the University of Texas at El Paso. Both the number and size of Alaskan ponds, which typically would form lakes over time, are decreasing. In January, a separate study of northwest Alaska (Climatic Change 2015; doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1302-1) also found that thawing permafrost, shrinking lakes, and changing vegetation – as well as coastal erosion and increased wildfires – could diminish habitat for many species, including migratory waterfowl. However, forest and tall shrub habitat could expand – benefiting, for example, the ruffed grouse (Bonasa umbellus). To help cut through the complexity and identify the species that will be winners or losers, the researchers projected the effects of climate change and biophysical drivers on bird and mammal habitats. “This is a first pass at quantifying the distribution and spatial patterns of habitat change; hopefully it will serve as a starting point for future work on wildlife population dynamics”, explains study author Bruce Marcot, a wildlife biologist with the US Forest Service (Portland, OR). According to Josh Koch, a research hydrologist with the US Geological Survey (Anchorage, AK), one of the biggest shifts taking place relates to how water interacts with thawed and burned soils; “We've seen several streams flowing aboveground that suddenly disappear down a hole”, he says. “We're making progress but there's more to do to nail down the complex processes and feedbacks at work over such a large area.” All agree that long-term data akin to those of Andresen's pond study will help achieve that goal. To that end, Marcot published an aerial-based survey of the US National Park Service's Arctic Network in 2014 (dx.doi.org/10.3133/ds846), complete with photos, videos, and GPS routes, to serve as a baseline for future efforts to conduct change analysis over time. Used in buildings worldwide, dry-wall comprises up to 27% of the solid waste associated with construction in North America, and most of it ends up in landfills – about 15 million tons of drywall waste in the US alone. M Anne Naeth, a Professor of Land Reclamation and Restoration Ecology at the University of Alberta (Edmonton, Canada), believes this material can be put to better use. Drywall panels consist of gypsum – a calcium sulfate mineral – mixed with water and other ingredients to form a plaster, which is then compressed between two layers of heavy paper and dried. Naeth speculated that drywall waste could be used as a compost additive, to improve the relatively poor soils that are characteristic of land reclamation projects. “There is steadily increasing urban, industrial, and natural resource development in North America”, she explains. “One of the main outcomes of this disturbance is the loss of soil organic matter, which provides water-holding capacity, improves soil structure, and contains many of the nutrients required by plants.” Mixing coarse and ground drywall with three biosolids-based composts and one manure-based compost, Naeth and her team examined how the various compost combinations affected the establishment and growth of three grass species sown in three different soils typical of reclamation sites. Seedling establishment and growth were relatively unaffected by drywall addition, while plant biomass was generally higher in soils treated with biosolids compost supplemented with drywall than in soils treated with traditional biosolids compost. Adding drywall to manure compost did not augment plant growth. “Enhanced plant growth with use of drywall compost was feedstock- (ie biosolids versus manure) and species-specific”, according to Naeth. “Before starting a large-scale operation, each producer would need to test with their particular compost feedstocks and compost process.” “Compost often requires a bulking agent; wood chips or sawdust are commonly used, but drywall could be an alternative source”, she adds. “The key focus is on finding disposal methods for drywall other than landfilling. We must identify innovative methods for disposing of industrial waste products to reduce our impact on – and even, as in this case, to enhance – the environment.” This April, in response to increasingly violent public protests, local government officials in Luoding, a city in southern China's Guangdong province, cancelled the construction of a waste incinerator plant, which had been due to become operational in October of this year. Concerned with the threat of increased air and water pollution, thousands of local residents held rallies against the project. Improper waste burning generates dioxins – which have been linked to cancer, as well as reproductive and immune system problems – and although modern waste-burning technology is designed to minimize dioxin emissions, citizens were not convinced that the proposed incinerator would comply with the required emission controls. This is not the first time that provincial authorities in China have terminated or postponed incinerator projects due to public pressure. In 2008, the Beijing municipal government cancelled the opening of a planned incinerator following protests by local inhabitants, and the Hangzhou city government did the same in 2014. Despite the apparent success of civic action in blocking waste incinerators at certain locations, some of these projects have simply been relocated elsewhere. In 2011, China produced 190 million tons of solid waste, representing 14.5% of the total global amount. China's waste is projected to increase annually by 3–5% due to growing urban populations and increasing per-capita consumption. Most of this waste goes to landfills, and is later burned to generate electricity. This creates space for more garbage, which municipal authorities see as a good solution to their disposal problems. China plans to build more than 300 new incinerators nationwide by 2017, with a combined daily processing capacity of over 300 000 tons, or 30% of the nation's solid waste. Many middle-aged Chinese can recall selling used paper products and containers for pocket money when they were children, and a small amount of recycling still occurs in China. Awareness of these issues is increasing among the public, but the country lacks a proper waste classification system. Locally organized pilot waste-sorting projects have met with limited success, given that there are no facilities to receive and process the recyclable materials collected. “We spent a huge amount of time and effort advocating recycling in 2008”, said Lin Wang, a retiree living in Beijing who used to run volunteer recycling programs in the city, “but we just ended up with a room full of dead batteries and tons of plastic bags that no one would take”. Poorly timed traffic signals aggravate impatient drivers and harm the environment. Re-programming these signals is a quick, low-cost method of reducing fuel consumption and vehicular CO2 emissions in cities, but using computer simulations to model all of the complex interactions that go into the timing of stoplights is often computationally expensive enough to be impractical for transportation agencies. In a new study (Transport Sci 2015; scientists at the of have designed a system that relies on and data to identify for times and fuel consumption. “What we said lead author in a recent that transportation to use of traffic to timing of traffic signals in urban can reduce The is finding the proper between and processing to make the model for and to municipal with limited computer and her used traffic in as a test for their the of thousands of and each with different and fuel on a daily even how small changes in patterns – for instance, some people choose a different if a particular is The new can even help city to environmental impacts when they traffic says that environmental can be into the plan so no longer have to these impacts the as is currently the is now working with officials from the New Department of including Director from the to test large-scale in using this “We implement the model in continues to says “This on of in their and in their daily people with water so much – of the and of the natural used in – that it also has a carbon But for the first time, the Agency is on to water this year. “We our because the is one of the in the says of the Group The its success to water which the power required to water, and to people to use less water cut use by and to more “We our water from the and it a of to it water from the river for of the 000 use. panels can help water become The other part of the solution was a to renewable the about its from a local a from a on and the from local water in the could go and infrastructure that could renewable an of Concerned report called in “The water is to become a part of the and climate renewable and panels that on and other The plans to the on its water ponds this year. will make the water system a net the to a year to – enough to power – to a local renewable it will be the biggest power system in the

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.873
Threshold uncertainty score0.000

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0050.003
Open science0.0020.004
Research integrity0.0030.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.8730.750

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.019
GPT teacher head0.210
Teacher spread0.191 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2015
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same venueFrontiers in Ecology and the EnvironmentSame topicBioenergy crop production and managementFrench-language works237,207