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Record W4252431959 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-18028/v1

Sickness absence trajectories following labour market participation patterns: a cohort study in Catalonia (Spain), 2012-2014

2020· preprint· en· W4252431959 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
JC Hernando-Rodriguez, L Serra, FG Benavides, M Ubalde-López

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldHealth Professions
TopicEmployment and Welfare Studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsUnemploymentMultinomial logistic regressionDemographyLatent class modelCohortDemographic economicsQuarter (Canadian coin)Logistic regressionGeographyEconomicsMedicineSociologyEconomic growthStatistics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background Previous studies have investigated the relationship between employment pathways and health-related outcomes based on cross-sectional or longitudinal approaches. However, little is known about the cumulative effects of employment status mobility on sickness absence (SA) over time. The present study aims to examine the association between prior labour market participation (LMP) patterns and SA trajectories from a life course perspective.Methods Cohort study based on a sample of 11,968 salaried workers affiliated with the Spanish Social Security system, who accumulated more than 15 days on SA at least in one quarter during 2012-2014. Individuals were grouped into three different working life stages: early (18-25 years), middle (26-35 years) and late (36-45 years). Sequence analysis and cluster analysis were applied to identify LMP patterns (2002-2011). Latent class growth modelling was used to identify SA trajectories (2012-2014). Finally, multinomial logistic regression models were applied to assess the relationship between LMP patterns and SA trajectories.Results First, seven LMP patterns were obtained: stable employment (63%-81%), increasing employment (5%-22%), without long-term coverage (7%-8%), decreasing employment (4%-10%), fluctuant employment (13%-14%), steeply inflow into unemployment (9%), and steeply labour market exit (7%-9%). Second, four SA trajectories were identified: low stable (values range: 83%-88%), decreasing (5%-9%), increasing (5%-11%) and high stable (7%-16%). Third, no significant associations were observed among LMP patterns and SA trajectories, except for young men, where an increasing employment pattern was significantly associated with a lower risk to increase days on SA (aOR: 0.21 [95% CI: 0.04-0.96]).Conclusions SA trajectories are not related to prior 10-year LMP patterns at any stage of working life. To disentangle this relationship, future research might benefit from considering working life transitions with a quality of work approach framed with contextual factors closer to the SA course.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.148
Threshold uncertainty score0.294

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.125
GPT teacher head0.498
Teacher spread0.373 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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