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Record W4253343459 · doi:10.1108/oxan-db221025

Russia can expect only limited GDP growth

2017· other· en· W4253343459 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueEmerald expert briefings · 2017
Typeother
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicRussia and Soviet political economy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAusterityRecessionInflation (cosmology)EconomicsCompetition (biology)Presidential systemInterest ratePolitical instabilityEliteQuarter (Canadian coin)PoliticsReal gross domestic productEconomic policyFiscal policyMonetary economicsMacroeconomicsPolitical scienceGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Significance First-quarter GDP data show that the economy is stabilising after two years of recession. Obstacles to continued growth emerged before either the Ukraine crisis or the fall in global prices, and much of the thinking in policy-making circles is about how to address them. Impacts The austerity regime may be softened later this year to allow spending ahead of the March 2018 presidential election. If fiscal discipline is broadly maintained, military spending in real terms will be held below 2015 levels for at least two years. The key interest rate will follow the rate of inflation down, easing the business community's concern about the cost of finance. Continued slow growth will intensify competition for resources among elite groups, creating possible sources of political instability.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.025
Threshold uncertainty score0.085

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0040.002
Open science0.0000.003
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0250.017

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.024
GPT teacher head0.306
Teacher spread0.282 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2017
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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