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Record W4254071473 · doi:10.21203/rs.2.22580/v1

Do I Lose Cognitive Function as Fast as my Twin Partner? Analyses Based on Classes of MMSE Trajectories of Twins Aged 80 and older

2020· preprint· en· W4254071473 on OpenAlexaff
Graciela Muñiz‐Terrera, Annie Robitaille, Jantje Goerdten, Fernando Massa, Boo Johansson

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2020
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPsychology
TopicCognitive Abilities and Testing
Canadian institutionsUniversité du Québec à MontréalUniversité du QuébecObject Research Systems (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCognitionPsychologyTwin studyFunction (biology)Developmental psychologyGerontologyMedicinePsychiatryEvolutionary biologyBiology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Background: Aging is associated with an increasing risk of decline in cognitive abilities. The decline is, however, not a homogeneous process. There are substantial differences across individuals although previous investigations have identified individuals with distinct cognitive trajectories. Evidence is accumulating that lifestyle contributes significantly to the classification of individuals into various clusters. How and whether genetically related individuals, like twins, change in a more similar manner is yet not fully understood. Methods: In this study, we fitted growth mixture models to Mini Mental State Exam scores (MMSE) from participants of the Swedish OCTO Twin study of oldest old monozygotic (MZ) and same-sex dizygotic (DZ) twins with the purpose of investigating whether twin pairs can be assigned to the same class of cognitive change. Results: We identified 4 distinct groups (latent classes) whose MMSE trajectories followed various patterns of change over time: a class of stable and high performing individuals, two groups of high performers who declined at different annual rates, and a small group of impaired individuals who declined more rapidly. Notably, our analyses show that few individuals in fact could be assigned to the same class as their co-twin. Conclusions: Our study provides evidence for more substantial impact of environmental, rather than genetic, influences on cognitive change trajectories in later life.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.229
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.205
GPT teacher head0.483
Teacher spread0.278 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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