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Record W4256010163 · doi:10.15396/eres2021_38

House Sales Indicators - A New Dataset Able to Capture Housing Market Developments in Europe

2021· article· en· W4256010163 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Peter Parlasca, Vincent Tronet

Bibliographic record

Venue28th Annual European Real Estate Society Conference · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicRegional Development and Policy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsQuarter (Canadian coin)RecessionEconomic indicatorBusinessEconomic recoveryEu countriesOfficial statisticsEuropean unionValue (mathematics)EconomicsEconomic policyGeographyStatisticsMacroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Among the housing statistics published by Eurostat, housing price statistics are available for more than a decade. However, house sales statistics in number and value of transactions are publicly available only since summer 2020 capturing quarterly information for many European countries at least since 2015. Housing statistics are key for policy makers but also for households due to their economic and social importance. In the surveillance of the COVID 19 impact on economic activities, housing prices did not yet show a huge impact of the economic downturn in many countries. In contrast, house sales indicated a slowdown of housing market activities. Consequently, these indicators are essential for analyzing crisis developments. During the ERES conference begin June 2021 the data for all the quarters in 2020 will be available in the Eurostat database encompassing house sales indicators for 24 European countries. Every quarter, Eurostat publishes the following indicators: house prices with a breakdown for new and existing dwellings, owner occupiers housing price indices, numbers and volumes of house sales. These indicators support not only medium and long-term analyses of this key sector of the economy but in addition allow monitoring crisis effects. The presentation provides a preliminary analysis for European countries and will guide to find the requested information on the Eurostat website which is free of charge and can be consulted on https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.567
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.032
GPT teacher head0.304
Teacher spread0.272 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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