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Record W4280517666 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1636191/v1

Mortality in Psoriatic Arthritis patients, changes over time and the impact of COVID-19: Results from a multicenter Psoriatic Arthritis Registry (PsART-ID)

2022· preprint· en· W4280517666 on OpenAlexaff
Abdülsamet Erden, Gizem Ayan, Levent Kılıç, Dilek Solmaz, Sibel Bakırcı, Gezmiş Kimyon, Esen Kasapoğlu Günal, Atalay Doğru, Ö. Bayındır, Ediz Dalkılıç, Cem Özişler, Servet Akar, Gözde Yıldırım Çetin, Emine Figen Tarhan, Orhan Küçükşahin, Ahmet Omma, Emel Gönüllü, Fatih Yıldız, Emine Duygu Ersözlü, Muhammed Cinar, Abdurrahman Tufan, Seval Pehlevan, Serpil Ergülü Eşmen, Sema Yılmaz, Mehmet Tuncay Duruöz, Timuçin Kaşifoğlu, Veli Yazısız, Kenan Aksu, Sibel Zehra Aydın, Umut Kalyoncu

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2022
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSpondyloarthritis Studies and Treatments
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
FundersCelgeneEli Lilly and CompanyAmgen
KeywordsMedicinePsoriatic arthritisPandemicMortality ratePopulationExcess mortalityStandardized mortality ratioCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Internal medicineDemographyPediatricsArthritisEnvironmental healthDisease

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract BackgroundThis study aimed to assess the mortality of PsA before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.MethodsFrom the prospective, multicenter PsART-ID (Psoriatic Arthritis Registry-International Database), patients from Turkey were analyzed by linking the registry to the Turkish Cause of Death Registry. The outcome of interest was death from any cause, pre-pandemic (since the onset of registry – March 2014- March 2020), and during the pandemic (March 2020-May 2021). The crude mortality rate and standardized mortality ratio (SMR) were determined. ResultsThere were 1216 PsA patients with a follow-up of 7500 patient-years. Overall, 46 deaths (26 males) were observed. In the pre-pandemic period, SMR for PsA vs the general population was 0.95 (0.61-1.49), being higher in males [1.56 (0.92-2.63)] than females [0.62 (0.33-1.17)]. The crude mortality rate in PsA doubled during the pandemic (pre-pandemic crude mortality rate: 5.07 vs 10.76 during the pandemic) with a higher increase in females (2.9 vs 8.72) than males (9.07 vs 14.73).Conclusion The mortality in PsA was found similar to the general population in the pre-pandemic era. The mortality rates in PsA doubled during the pandemic. Whether PsA patients have more risk of mortality than the general population due to COVID-19, needs further studies.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.006

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.394
Teacher spread0.347 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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