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Record W4280620216 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-1648844/v1

Cutting carbon emissions from China’s food system by supply-demand coordination and optimizing spatial allocation of production

2022· preprint· en· W4280620216 on OpenAlexaff
Xinxian Qi, Xianjin Huang, Kuishuang Feng, Hong Yang, Taiyang Zhong, Julian R. Thompson, Steffanie Scott

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2022
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAgriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsProduction (economics)ChinaNatural resource economicsEnvironmental economicsGreenhouse gasBusinessSupply and demandCarbon fibersEnvironmental scienceEconomicsMicroeconomicsComputer scienceGeographyEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Food systems, including supply chains, account for approximately one-third of global anthropogenic GHGs emissions. We construct a bottom-up GHG inventory of China’s food system from farm to fork for the period 1990–2018. The decomposition method is used to assess regional differentiated drivers. GHG emissions reduced by 6.8% between 1990 and 2000 due to energy structure changes in East, Central and Southwest China. They then increased by 2.3% (2001–2010) because of rapid economic growth. Further large increases of 13.1% (2011–2018) were driven by growing consumption expenditure and GHG-intensive food consumption. In 2018 total emissions from China’s food system, including supply chains, was 1.55 Gt CO2e yr-1 (95%CI 1.07-2.03 Gt CO2e yr−1). Scenario simulation shows that demand- and supply-side synergies can offset emissions increases from high-quality protein food demands. Results demonstrate the importance of supply-side production spatial optimization and green source food importation for mitigating GHGs emissions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.076
Threshold uncertainty score0.150

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.290
Teacher spread0.274 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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