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Record W4281956449 · doi:10.1111/biom.13683

Reader reaction to “Outcome‐adaptive lasso: Variable selection for causal inference” by Shortreed and Ertefaie (2017)

2022· letter· en· W4281956449 on OpenAlexafffund
Ismaïla Baldé, Yi Yang, Geneviève Lefebvre

Bibliographic record

VenueBiometrics · 2022
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicAdvanced Causal Inference Techniques
Canadian institutionsMcGill UniversityUniversité du Québec à Montréal
FundersFonds de Recherche du Québec - SantéNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
KeywordsCovariateCausal inferencePropensity score matchingEstimatorStatisticsConfoundingCollinearityLasso (programming language)EconometricsOutcome (game theory)Computer scienceInferenceMathematicsArtificial intelligence

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Shortreed and Ertefaie introduced a clever propensity score variable selection approach for estimating average causal effects, namely, the outcome adaptive lasso (OAL). OAL aims to select desirable covariates, confounders, and predictors of outcome, to build an unbiased and statistically efficient propensity score estimator. Due to its design, a potential limitation of OAL is how it handles the collinearity problem, which is often encountered in high‐dimensional data. As seen in Shortreed and Ertefaie, OAL's performance degraded with increased correlation between covariates. In this note, we propose the generalized OAL (GOAL) that combines the strengths of the adaptively weighted L1 penalty and the elastic net to better handle the selection of correlated covariates. Two different versions of GOAL, which differ in their procedure (algorithm), are proposed. We compared OAL and GOAL in simulation scenarios that mimic those examined by Shortreed and Ertefaie. Although all approaches performed equivalently with independent covariates, we found that both GOAL versions were more performant than OAL in low and high dimensions with correlated covariates.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.061
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.037
Threshold uncertainty score0.051

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.061
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0030.004
Scholarly communication0.0060.006
Open science0.0020.002
Research integrity0.0370.051
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0150.019

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.234
GPT teacher head0.416
Teacher spread0.181 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations8
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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