Sex Differences in the Risk of First and Recurrent Ventricular Tachyarrhythmias Among Patients Receiving an Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator for Primary Prevention
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Current guidelines for primary implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) therapy do not account for sex differences in arrhythmic risk in ICD candidates. Objective: To evaluate the association between sex and risk of ventricular tachyarrhythmia (VTA) and mortality. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study compared differences in the risk of VTA and mortality between 4506 men and women enrolled in the 4 Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trials (MADIT) between July 1, 1997, and December 31, 2011. Data from prospective randomized controlled multicenter studies were analyzed retrospectively. Men and women with an ICD or cardiac resynchronization therapy defibrillator who were enrolled in all MADIT studies were included. Data were analyzed between January 10 and June 10, 2021. Exposures: ICD implant. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary end point was sustained VTA, defined as ICD-recorded, treated or monitored VTA at least 170/min or ventricular fibrillation. Secondary VTA end points included VTA at least 200/min, appropriate ICD shocks, and appropriate antitachycardia pacing. All end points were included in a first and recurrent event analysis. Results: Of the 4506 study participants, 3431 were men (76%). Mean (SD) age of the cohort was 64 (12) years. For women vs men, the mean (SD) age (64 [12] years vs 64 [11] years) and left ventricular ejection fraction (24% vs 25%) were similar, but women exhibited a higher frequency of nonischemic cardiomyopathy (454 of 1075 women [42%] vs 2535 of 3431 men [74%]). Women had significantly lower 3-year cumulative probability of sustained VTA (16% vs 26%), fast VTA (9% vs 17%), and appropriate ICD shocks (7% vs 15%) compared with men (P < .001 for all). Multivariable analysis showed that female sex was independently associated with at least 40% lower risk of all first and recurrent VTA end points (P < .001 for all), including the primary end point (first event, HR = 60 [95% CI, 50-73], P < .001; recurrent event, HR = 49 [95% CI, 43-55], P < .001), after accounting for the competing risk of all-cause mortality and nonarrhythmic mortality. The lower VTA risk associated with female sex was consistent in risk subsets but was significantly more pronounced in patients with nonischemic cardiomyopathy (female vs male in the ischemic group: hazard ratio, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.56-0.95], P = .02; nonischemic group: hazard ratio, 0.50 [95% CI, 0.38-0.66], P < .001; P = .03 for interaction between female sex and cardiomyopathy). Conclusions and Relevance: Findings suggest that women display a significantly lower risk of first and recurrent life-threatening VTA events than men, and that it is more pronounced in patients with nonischemic cardiomyopathy, suggesting a need for sex-specific risk assessment for primary prevention ICD therapy.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".