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Record W4283376969 · doi:10.1101/2022.06.20.22276674

Patterns of antibiotic use, pathogens and clinical outcomes in hospitalised neonates and young infants with sepsis in the NeoOBS global neonatal sepsis observational cohort study

2022· preprint· en· W4283376969 on OpenAlexaff
Neal Russell, Wolfgang Stöhr, Nishad Plakkal, Aislinn Cook, James A. Berkley, B. Adhisivam, Ramesh Agarwal, Manica Balasegaram, Daynia Ballot, Adrie Bekker, Eitan Naaman Berezin, Davide Bilardi, Suppawat Boonkasidecha, Cristina Gardonyi Carvalheiro, Suman Chaurasia, Sara Chiurchiù, Simon Cousens, Tim R. Cressey, Trần Minh Điền, Yijun Ding, Angela Dramowski, Madhusudhan DS, Ajay Dudeja, Jinxing Feng, Y. Glupczynski, Herman Goossens, Tatiana Munera Huertas, Mohammad Shahidul Islam, Daniel Jarovsky, Nathalie Khavessian, Meera Khorana, Tomislav Kostyanev, Mattias Larsson, Maia De Luca, Surbhi Malhotra‐Kumar, Marisa Márcia Mussi‐Pinhata, Ruchi Nanavati, Sushma Nangia, Jolly Nankunda, Alessandra Nardone, Borna Nyaoke, Christina W. Obiero, Maxensia Owor, Ping Wang, Kanchana Preedisripipat, Shamim Qazi, Tanusha Ramdin, Amy Riddell, Emmanuel Roilides, Samir K. Saha, Kosmas Sarafidis, Reenu Thomas, Sithembiso Velaphi, Tuba Vilken, Yajuan Wang, Yonghong Yang, Sally Ellis, Julia Bielicki, A. Sarah Walker, Paul T. Heath, Mike Sharland

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2022
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicNeonatal and Maternal Infections
Canadian institutionsInstitute of Infection and Immunity
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineSepsisObservational studyRegimenPediatricsNeonatal sepsisAntibioticsRandomized controlled trialClinical trialIntensive care medicineInternal medicine

Abstract

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Abstract Background Neonatal sepsis is a leading cause of child mortality, and increasing antimicrobial resistance threatens progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals. Evidence to guide antibiotic treatment for sepsis in neonates and young infants from randomized controlled trials or observational studies in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) is scarce. We aimed to describe patterns of antibiotic use, pathogens and outcomes in LMIC hospital settings globally to inform future clinical trials on the management of neonatal sepsis. Methods & Findings Hospitalised infants aged <60 days with clinical sepsis were enrolled during 2018-2020 by 19 sites in 11 countries (mainly Asia and Africa). Prospective daily data was collected on clinical signs, supportive care, antibiotic treatment, microbiology and clinical outcome at 28 days. The study was observational, with no changes to routine clinical practice. 3204 infants were enrolled, with median birth weight 2500g (IQR 1400-3000) and postnatal age 5 days (IQR 2-15). Of 309 enrolled aged 28-60 days, 58.6% (n=181) were ex-preterm and/or a neonate at admission. 2215 (69%) infants had been in hospital since birth. 206 different empiric antibiotic combinations were used, which were structured into 5 groups that were developed from the World Health Organisation (WHO) AWaRe classification. 25.9% (n=814) of infants started a WHO first line regimen (Group 1 -Access, penicillin-based regimen) and 13.8% (n=432) started WHO second-line cephalosporins (cefotaxime/ceftriaxone) (Group 2- ‘Low’ Watch). The largest group (34.0%, n=1068) started a regimen providing partial extended-spectrum beta-lactamase (ESBL)/pseudomonal coverage (piperacillin-tazobactam, ceftazidime, or fluoroquinolone-based) (Group 3 – ‘Medium’ Watch), 18.0% (n=566) started a carbapenem (Group 4 – ‘High’ Watch), and 1.8% (n=57) started a Reserve antibiotic (Group 5, largely colistin-based). Predictors of starting non-WHO recommended regimens included lower birth weight, longer in-hospital stay, central vascular catheter use, previous culture positive sepsis or antibiotic exposure, previous surgery and greater sepsis severity. 728/2880 (25.3%) of initial regimens in Group 1-4 were escalated, mainly to carbapenems, and usually for clinical indications (n=480; 65.9%). 564 infants (17.6%) isolated a pathogen from their baseline blood culture, of which 62.9% (n=355) had a Gram-negative organism, predominantly Klebsiella pneumoniae (n=132) and Acinetobacter spp. (n=72). These leading Gram-negatives were both mostly resistant to WHO-recommended regimens, and also resistant to carbapenems in 32.6% and 71.4% of cases respectively. MRSA accounted for 61.1% of Staphylococcus aureus (n=54) isolates. Overall, 350/3204 infants died (11.3%; 95%CI 10.2-12.5%), with 17.7% case fatality rate among infants with a pathogen in baseline culture (95%CI 14.7-20.1%, n=99/564). Gram-negative infections accounted for 75/99 (75.8%) of pathogen-positive deaths, especially Klebsiella pneumoniae (n=28; 28.3%), and Acinetobacter spp. (n=24; 24.2%). Conclusion A very wide range of antibiotic regimens are now used to treat neonatal sepsis globally. There is common use of higher-level Watch antibiotics, frequent early switching and very infrequent de-escalation of therapy. Future hospital based neonatal sepsis trials will ideally need to account for the multiple regimens used as standard of care globally and include both empiric first line regimens and subsequent switching in the trial design. Author Summary Why was this study done? ➢ Increasing trends in antimicrobial resistance (AMR) disproportionately affect neonates and young infants with sepsis in LMIC settings and undermine the effectiveness of WHO-recommended antibiotics. ➢ Despite this, longitudinal data on antibiotic management strategies and outcomes of affected hospitalised neonates and young infants in LMIC settings are extremely limited, impeding the design of robust antibiotic trials. What did the researchers do and find? ➢ To our knowledge this is the first global, prospective, hospital-based observational study of clinically diagnosed neonatal sepsis across 4 continents including LMIC settings, with daily data on clinical status, antibiotic use and outcomes. ➢ There was a high mortality among infants with culture positive sepsis (almost 1 in 5), and a significant burden of antibiotic resistance. ➢ This study highlights wide variations in standard of care for sepsis in neonates and young infants with more than 200 different antibiotic combinations, significant divergence from WHO-recommended regimens, and frequent switching of antibiotics. What do these findings mean? ➢ These data demonstrate that patterns of routine antibiotic use are now markedly divergent from global guidance ➢ There is an urgent need for randomised controlled trials to address optimal empiric first and second line antibiotic treatment strategies in LMIC hospital settings with a significant AMR burden. ➢ Data from this study can inform the design of multicentre hospital-based neonatal antibiotic trials in LMIC settings. ➢ The wide range of multiple antibiotic regimens routinely used as Standard of Care (SOC) suggests the need for novel trial designs.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.997

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.042
GPT teacher head0.335
Teacher spread0.292 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations23
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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