Relationship between cyclical fluctuations in the banking and the services sector in Poland
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The aim of the paper is to explore the relationship between the business tendency survey indicators for the banking sector and the sections and divisions of the services sector in Poland. In the paper, the results are presented of analyses conducted on the basis of data from the business tendency surveys. The time range of analyses covers the period from the first quarter of 2003 to the first quarter of 2020. The data for the banking sector stem from the survey which is carried out quarterly by the Department of Market Research and Services of the Poznań University of Economics and Business. The data for the eleven sections and two divisions of the services sector (according to the Polish PKD code classification) were obtained from the survey conducted by Statistics Poland on a monthly basis. The monthly data were transformed into quarterly with the use of two formulas. In the paper, the results are presented of cross-correlation analysis, in which the maximum length of lags and leads equal four quarters was adopted.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it