Bibliographic record
Abstract
This paper studies an optimal insurance problem with finitely many potential policyholders. A monopolistic, risk-neutral insurer applies linear pricing, and cannot discriminate in the insurance premium rate. The individuals are endowed with exponential expected utility preferences, and there is heterogeneity in the risk-aversion parameters. We study two models. In the first model the individuals can self-select their insurance coverage given the market premium rate. We find that partial or no insurance is generally optimal, and the premium optimization can be reduced to a piecewise concave problem. In the second model, the insurer offers only one insurance contract and individuals can either buy it or not. We show that it is optimal for the insurer to offer a full insurance contract. The premium optimization problem is reduced to a discrete problem, where the premium is an indifference premium of one individual in the market. Since the risk-aversion parameters of individuals are generally unobserved, we also present a simulation-based framework in which we simulate the risk-aversion parameters of the individuals. We show that the model with finitely many policyholders converges to the model with a continuum of potential policyholders when the number of potential individuals increases.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".