Development and Validation of Multiparametric MRI–based Radiomics Models for Preoperative Risk Stratification of Endometrial Cancer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Stratifying high-risk histopathologic features in endometrial carcinoma is important for treatment planning. Radiomics analysis at preoperative MRI holds potential to identify high-risk phenotypes. Purpose To evaluate the performance of multiparametric MRI three-dimensional radiomics-based machine learning models for differentiating low- from high-risk histopathologic markers—deep myometrial invasion (MI), lymphovascular space invasion (LVSI), and high-grade status—and advanced-stage endometrial carcinoma. Materials and Methods This dual-center retrospective study included women with histologically proven endometrial carcinoma who underwent 1.5-T MRI before hysterectomy between January 2011 and July 2015. Exclusion criteria were tumor diameter less than 1 cm, missing MRI sequences or histopathology reports, neoadjuvant therapy, and malignant neoplasms other than endometrial carcinoma. Three-dimensional radiomics features were extracted after tumor segmentation at MRI (T2-weighted, diffusion-weighted, and dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI). Predictive features were selected in the training set with use of random forest (RF) models for each end point, and trained RF models were applied to the external test set. Five board-certified radiologists conducted MRI-based staging and deep MI assessment in the training set. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUCs) were reported with balanced accuracies, and radiologists’ readings were compared with radiomics with use of McNemar tests. Results In total, 157 women were included: 94 at the first institution (training set; mean age, 66 years ± 11 [SD]) and 63 at the second institution (test set; 67 years ± 12). RF models dichotomizing deep MI, LVSI, high grade, and International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage led to AUCs of 0.81 (95% CI: 0.68, 0.88), 0.80 (95% CI: 0.67, 0.93), 0.74 (95% CI: 0.61, 0.86), and 0.84 (95% CI: 0.72, 0.92), respectively, in the test set. In the training set, radiomics provided increased performance compared with radiologists’ readings for identifying deep MI (balanced accuracy, 86% vs 79%; P = .03), while no evidence of a difference was observed in performance for advanced FIGO stage (80% vs 78%; P = .27). Conclusion Three-dimensional radiomics can stratify patients by using preoperative MRI according to high-risk histopathologic end points in endometrial carcinoma and provide nonsignificantly different or higher performance than radiologists in identifying advanced stage and deep myometrial invasion, respectively. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Kido and Nishio in this issue.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.006 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".