Prognosis of Alzheimer’s Disease Using Quantitative Mass Spectrometry of Human Blood Plasma Proteins and Machine Learning
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Early recognition of the risk of Alzheimer’s disease (AD) onset is a global challenge that requires the development of reliable and affordable screening methods for wide-scale application. Proteomic studies of blood plasma are of particular relevance; however, the currently proposed differentiating markers are poorly consistent. The targeted quantitative multiple reaction monitoring (MRM) assay of the reported candidate biomarkers (CBs) can contribute to the creation of a consistent marker panel. An MRM-MS analysis of 149 nondepleted EDTA–plasma samples (MHRC, Russia) of patients with AD (n = 47), mild cognitive impairment (MCI, n = 36), vascular dementia (n = 8), frontotemporal dementia (n = 15), and an elderly control group (n = 43) was performed using the BAK 125 kit (MRM Proteomics Inc., Canada). Statistical analysis revealed a significant decrease in the levels of afamin, apolipoprotein E, biotinidase, and serum paraoxonase/arylesterase 1 associated with AD. Different training algorithms for machine learning were performed to identify the protein panels and build corresponding classifiers for the AD prognosis. Machine learning revealed 31 proteins that are important for AD differentiation and mostly include reported earlier CBs. The best-performing classifiers reached 80% accuracy, 79.4% sensitivity and 83.6% specificity and were able to assess the risk of developing AD over the next 3 years for patients with MCI. Overall, this study demonstrates the high potential of the MRM approach combined with machine learning to confirm the significance of previously identified CBs and to propose consistent protein marker panels.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".