Bibliographic record
Abstract
Acute rheumatic fever (ARF) is an immune-mediated disease preceded by a group A streptococcal infection, and in the most serious cases, can lead to rheumatic heart disease. A significant segment of the global population is affected by group A streptococcal mediated rheumatic heart disease.1Watkins DA Johnson CO Colquhoun SM et al.Global, regional, and national burden of rheumatic heart disease, 1990–2015.N Engl J Med. 2017; 377: 713-722Crossref PubMed Scopus (469) Google Scholar The burden of group A streptococcal infections and ARF is higher in lower income countries but also occurs significantly in disadvantaged populations in higher income countries, such as among the indigenous groups in Australia and New Zealand.2Bennett J Zhang J Leung W et al.Rising ethnic inequalities in acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease, New Zealand, 2000–2018.Emerg Infect Dis. 2021; 27: 36-46Crossref Scopus (21) Google Scholar,3Australian Institute of Health and Welfare, Acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease in Australia 2016–2020, catalogue number CVD, 95, AIHW, Australian Government, 2022Google Scholar Prevention of ARF and rheumatic heart disease can occur through prevention of the preceding group A streptococcal infection. Group A streptococcal pharyngitis can, in some cases, lead to ARF, therefore, prevention of streptococcal pharyngitis should decrease the incidence of ARF in those populations most affected. Although less conclusive, evidence is also growing for the association of group A streptococcal skin infections with the development of ARF.4Baker MG Gurney J Oliver J et al.Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: literature review and protocol for a case-control study in New Zealand.Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019; 16: 4515Crossref Scopus (31) Google Scholar, 5Thomas S Bennett J Jack S et al.Descriptive analysis of group A Streptococcus in skin swabs and acute rheumatic fever, Auckland, New Zealand, 2010–2016.Lancet Reg Health - West Pac. 2021; 8100101PubMed Google Scholar, 6Oliver J Bennett J Thomas S et al.Preceding group A Streptococcus skin and throat infections are individually associated with acute rheumatic fever: evidence from New Zealand.BMJ Glob Health. 2021; 6e007038Crossref PubMed Scopus (3) Google Scholar As commercial vaccines to protect against group A streptococcal infections do not yet exist, other measures such as infection prevention programs remain a primary strategy to stop disease development.7Coffey PM Ralph AP Krause VL. The role of social determinants of health in the risk and prevention of group A streptococcal infection, acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease: a systematic review.PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2018; 120006577Crossref Scopus (70) Google Scholar In 2011, New Zealand launched the Rheumatic Fever Prevention Programme, which focused primarily on sore throat detection among high-risk school children in areas of relative socioeconomic deprivation, as well as efforts to increase education about ARF and its connection to sore throats.8Jack SJ Williamson DA Galloway Y et al.Primary prevention of rheumatic fever in the 21st century: evaluation of a national programme.Int J Epidemiol. 2018; 47: 1585-1593Crossref PubMed Scopus (20) Google Scholar While there were noted decreases in the number of ARF cases following implementation of the program, this was likely due to a variety of factors and may not be sustained as evidenced by an increase in ARF rates near the end of the now discontinued program.8Jack SJ Williamson DA Galloway Y et al.Primary prevention of rheumatic fever in the 21st century: evaluation of a national programme.Int J Epidemiol. 2018; 47: 1585-1593Crossref PubMed Scopus (20) Google Scholar Other factors, such as overcrowding and socioeconomic status are strongly associated with ARF development and may prove to be more effective targets for prevention programs.7Coffey PM Ralph AP Krause VL. The role of social determinants of health in the risk and prevention of group A streptococcal infection, acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease: a systematic review.PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2018; 120006577Crossref Scopus (70) Google Scholar However, our overall knowledge of ARF risk factors, especially among those most highly impacted, is limited due a lack of powerful studies examining a full range of possible risk factors.9Baker MG Gurney J Moreland NJ et al.Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: a case-control study.Lancet Reg Health - West Pac. 2022; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100508Summary Full Text Full Text PDF Google Scholar Consequently, there has been a need for additional research to elucidate the important risk factors on which prevention programs should focus. Here, Baker et al., performed a case-control study of individuals hospitalized for ARF in New Zealand to identify modifiable risk factors to inform policies and programs aimed at reducing ARF rates.4Baker MG Gurney J Oliver J et al.Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: literature review and protocol for a case-control study in New Zealand.Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019; 16: 4515Crossref Scopus (31) Google Scholar,9Baker MG Gurney J Moreland NJ et al.Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: a case-control study.Lancet Reg Health - West Pac. 2022; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100508Summary Full Text Full Text PDF Google Scholar A strength of the study was the tight 3:1 ratio match of controls to cases for age, ethnicity, socioeconomic deprivation, location, sex, and recruitment month. Strong associations between ARF and the modifiable risk factors of household crowding, barriers to accessing primary healthcare, and sugary beverage intake were identified by multivariable analysis. The authors do caution more studies need to be done regarding the sugary beverage association and ARF. ARF risk was also found to be five-fold higher among individuals with a family history of the disease in the Māori and Pacific Islander populations. Elevated risk was also identified for preceding sore throat and/or skin infection. Concurrently, Bennett et al., sought to identify risk factors for group A streptococcal pharyngitis and skin infections in Auckland, New Zealand and determine if those risk factors overlapped with ARF risk factors.10Bennett J Moreland NJ Zhang J et al.Risk factors for group A streptococcal pharyngitis and skin infections: a case control study.Lancet Reg Health - West Pac. 2022; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100507Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1) Google Scholar Analysis found significant associations for having group A streptococcal pharyngitis, group A streptococcal carriage, or group A streptococcal skin infections and the inability to obtain primary healthcare. In addition to problems related to primary healthcare, children with group A streptococcal skin infections had a greater likelihood of living in crowded housing conditions as defined by the WHO, having Māori or Pacific Islander grandparents, a family history of ARF or a previous diagnosis of eczema. These two studies together identified several overlapping risk factors for group A streptococcal infections and ARF that are modifiable, suggesting these infections can potentially be reduced through changes in the environment in which individuals at risk of infection live. What does this mean for public health and clinical practice? The development of ARF prevention programs for indigenous people in New Zealand and other at-risk populations globally that focus on mitigatable risk factors (e.g., overcrowded housing and improved healthcare access) could be useful for the reduction of group A streptococcal skin and throat infections and subsequent ARF. The strong support for the association of ARF with skin infections presented by Baker et al., coupled with the high levels of group A streptococcal skin infection and colonization among indigenous people in New Zealand, suggests that efforts to reduce skin infections will likely make significant impacts on ARF development.5Thomas S Bennett J Jack S et al.Descriptive analysis of group A Streptococcus in skin swabs and acute rheumatic fever, Auckland, New Zealand, 2010–2016.Lancet Reg Health - West Pac. 2021; 8100101PubMed Google Scholar,9Baker MG Gurney J Moreland NJ et al.Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: a case-control study.Lancet Reg Health - West Pac. 2022; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100508Summary Full Text Full Text PDF Google Scholar However, mitigation strategies do not come without significant challenges, as cultural requirements of indigenous groups that are affected must be considered, especially when addressing a factor as personal as living situation.7Coffey PM Ralph AP Krause VL. The role of social determinants of health in the risk and prevention of group A streptococcal infection, acute rheumatic fever and rheumatic heart disease: a systematic review.PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2018; 120006577Crossref Scopus (70) Google Scholar,10Bennett J Moreland NJ Zhang J et al.Risk factors for group A streptococcal pharyngitis and skin infections: a case control study.Lancet Reg Health - West Pac. 2022; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100507Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1) Google Scholar Dr. Ashley Williams contributed to the literature search, data interpretation and writing. Dr. Gregory Tyrrell contributed to the literature search, conceptualization, data interpretation and writing. Both authors declare no conflicts of interest. Risk factors for acute rheumatic fever: A case-control studyThese globally relevant findings direct attention to the critical importance of household crowding and access to primary health care as strong modifiable causal factors in the development of ARF. They also support a greater focus on the role of managing skin infections in ARF prevention. Full-Text PDF Open AccessRisk factors for group A streptococcal pharyngitis and skin infections: A case control studyReducing barriers to accessing primary healthcare (including financial restrictions, the inability to book an appointment, lack of transport, and lack of childcare for other children) to treat GAS pharyngitis and skin infections could potentially reduce these infections and lead to a reduction in their sequelae, including ARF. These strategies should be co-designed and culturally appropriate for the communities being served and carefully evaluated. Full-Text PDF Open Access
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".