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Record W4286305852 · doi:10.1029/2021jd035687

4D‐Var Inversion of European NH <sub>3</sub> Emissions Using CrIS NH <sub>3</sub> Measurements and GEOS‐Chem Adjoint With Bi‐Directional and Uni‐Directional Flux Schemes

2022· article· en· W4286305852 on OpenAlexaff
Hansen Cao, Daven K. Henze, Liye Zhu, Mark W. Shephard, Karen Cady‐Pereira, Enrico Dammers, Michael Sitwell, Nicholas Heath, C. R. Lonsdale, Jesse O. Bash, Kazuyuki Miyazaki, Christophe Fléchard, Yannick Fauvel, Roy Wichink Kruit, Stefan Feigenspan, Christian Brümmer, Frederik Schrader, Marsailidh Twigg, Sarah R. Leeson, Yuk S. Tang, Amy Stephens, Christine F. Braban, J. Keith Vincent, Mario Meier, Eva Seitler, Camilla Geels, Thomas Ellermann, Agnieszka Sanocka, Shannon L. Capps

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicAtmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Canadian institutionsEnvironment and Climate Change Canada
FundersNuclear Safety and Security CommissionNatural Environment Research CouncilSight Research UKNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
KeywordsInversion (geology)Flux (metallurgy)PhysicsComputational physicsChemistryGeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract We conduct the first 4D‐Var inversion of NH 3 accounting for NH 3 bi‐directional flux, using CrIS satellite NH 3 observations over Europe in 2016. We find posterior NH 3 emissions peak more in springtime than prior emissions at continental to national scales, and annually they are generally smaller than the prior emissions over central Europe, but larger over most of the rest of Europe. Annual posterior anthropogenic NH 3 emissions for 25 European Union members (EU25) are 25% higher than the prior emissions and very close (<2% difference) to other inventories. Our posterior annual anthropogenic emissions for EU25, the UK, the Netherlands, and Switzerland are generally 10%–20% smaller than when treating NH 3 fluxes as uni‐directional emissions, while the monthly regional difference can be up to 34% (Switzerland in July). Compared to monthly mean in‐situ observations, our posterior NH 3 emissions from both schemes generally improve the magnitude and seasonality of simulated surface NH 3 and bulk NH x wet deposition throughout most of Europe, whereas evaluation against hourly measurements at a background site shows the bi‐directional scheme better captures observed diurnal variability of surface NH 3 . This contrast highlights the need for accurately simulating diurnal variability of NH 3 in assimilation of sun‐synchronous observations and also the potential value of future geostationary satellite observations. Overall, our top‐down ammonia emissions can help to examine the effectiveness of air pollution control policies to facilitate future air pollution management, as well as helping us understand the uncertainty in top‐down NH 3 emissions estimates associated with treatment of NH 3 surface exchange.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.026
Threshold uncertainty score0.052

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.048
GPT teacher head0.268
Teacher spread0.221 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations28
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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