Synoptic-scale variability in the Beaufort High and spring ice opening in the Beaufort Sea
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study examines the role of synoptic-scale variability in the Beaufort High in spring ice opening in the Beaufort Sea using data over the 2000–2019 period. A few days before ice opening in spring, the Beaufort High begins to strengthen, deform, and shift eastward from the Chukchi Sea to the western Canadian Arctic Archipelago due to warming in eastern Siberia, and the Aleutian Low is also enhanced. The pressure gradient between the Aleutian Low and the Beaufort High increases rapidly, promoting strong southeasterly winds. As the Beaufort High shifts eastward, the anticyclonic sea ice circulation in the Beaufort Sea tends to be an asymmetrical gyre; as a result, sea ice in the eastern Beaufort Sea is exported toward the western Beaufort Sea without supplementation from the north. Sea ice volume budget analysis indicates that when southeasterly winds are prevailing, wind-forced ice advection and divergence dominate the ice opening in the southeastern Beaufort Sea. Although both the basal and lateral melting are promoted during the ice opening, their contributions to the reduction of ice volume are negligible.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".