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Record W4287598145 · doi:10.5281/zenodo.4274282

Does the Decline of the Canadian Manufacturing Sector Matter?

2020· dissertation· en· W4287598145 on OpenAlexaffabout
George Yean

Bibliographic record

VenueZenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) · 2020
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal trade and economics
Canadian institutionsQueen's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsManufacturing sectorBusinessEconomicsLabour economics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this paper, we first analyze the historical data for the Canadian manufacturing sector, in terms of output and employment. We can clearly see this sector is declining, especially after the early 2000s. We then explore the causes for the decline and find that import competition and offshoring explain a large proportion of the decline, especially after China joined WTO in 2001. Whether or not this decline matters, our evidence shows manufacturing has unrivaled importance for the health of the economy, the labour market, international trade, global competitiveness, social and political impacts, as well as supply chain security and national security. We conclude that not only does the manufacturing decline and low level of output matter, but it is urgent for the government to come up with a multi-faceted strategy to reverse the trend and revitalize the sector. As the world is entering a fourth industrial revolution, it is vital to have a healthy and growing manufacturing sector. Based on our findings, we propose a ten-year vision for the Canadian manufacturing sector, and provide a set of realistic policy suggestions for the government to consider.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.039
Threshold uncertainty score0.284

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0040.009
Science and technology studies0.0030.002
Scholarly communication0.0040.002
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0080.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.048
GPT teacher head0.204
Teacher spread0.155 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2020
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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