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Record W4289100930 · doi:10.2118/212000-ms

Hydrate Risk Management and Evaluation for Gas-Dominated Systems Using Machine Learning

2022· article· en· W4289100930 on OpenAlexaff
Toyin Olabisi Odutola, Israel Bassey, Anita Igbine, Celestine Udim Monday

Bibliographic record

VenueSPE Nigeria Annual International Conference and Exhibition · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicMethane Hydrates and Related Phenomena
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsFlow assuranceClathrate hydrateHydratePetroleum engineeringPipeline transportSubmarine pipelineVolumetric flow rateFlow (mathematics)Wet gasMultiphase flowEnvironmental scienceComputer scienceGeologyThermodynamicsChemistryMechanicsEnvironmental engineeringGeotechnical engineeringPhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Advancements in oil and gas production have led to the exploration and production of hydrocarbons in unstable regions including offshore (deep & ultra-deep) reservoirs. As production increases, flow assurance continues to be a prevalent problem in wells and flowlines. It is necessary to develop flow assurance analysis models for hydrate formation in gas pipelines. Analyses have shown the difference in thermodynamic and kinetic behaviors in the different hydrate phase systems (water, gas, oil). This study presents a data-driven gas hydrate diagnosis model for monitoring and risk evaluation in gas pipelines by performing, hydrate growth rate diagnosis for flow assurance in gas-dominated flow systems. Data used for learning was obtained from hydrate flow loop experiments performed under controlled gas-dominated flow conditions where thermodynamic conditions were obtained at each time step. Regression Algorithms were applied to develop a fit for a model to predict the hydrate risk level given thermodynamic conditions alongside the flow rate. The developed hydrate model was also applied to study the performance in flow operations. The ridge regression model showed the best performance among the models with a root mean squared error of 0.1682 and a correlation coefficient of 0.9595. The results obtained showed that the model can be deployed for use in a hydrate risk analysis endeavor, and the algorithm used in development can be further improved.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.383
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.024
GPT teacher head0.270
Teacher spread0.246 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

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