A Machine Learning Approach for Continuous Mining of Nonidentifiable Smartphone Data to Create a Novel Digital Biomarker Detecting Generalized Anxiety Disorder: Prospective Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Anxiety is one of the leading causes of mental health disability around the world. Currently, a majority of the population who experience anxiety go undiagnosed or untreated. New and innovative ways of diagnosing and monitoring anxiety have emerged using smartphone sensor–based monitoring as a metric for the management of anxiety. This is a novel study as it adds to the field of research through the use of nonidentifiable smartphone usage to help detect and monitor anxiety remotely and in a continuous and passive manner. Objective This study aims to evaluate the accuracy of a novel mental behavioral profiling metric derived from smartphone usage for the identification and tracking of generalized anxiety disorder (GAD). Methods Smartphone data and self-reported 7-item GAD anxiety assessments were collected from 229 participants using an Android operating system smartphone in an observational study over an average of 14 days (SD 29.8). A total of 34 features were mined to be constructed as a potential digital phenotyping marker from continuous smartphone usage data. We further analyzed the correlation of these digital behavioral markers against each item of the 7-item Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale (GAD-7) and its influence on the predictions of machine learning algorithms. Results A total of 229 participants were recruited in this study who had completed the GAD-7 assessment and had at least one set of passive digital data collected within a 24-hour period. The mean GAD-7 score was 11.8 (SD 5.7). Regression modeling was tested against classification modeling and the highest prediction accuracy was achieved from a binary XGBoost classification model (precision of 73%-81%; recall of 68%-87%; F1-score of 71%-79%; accuracy of 76%; area under the curve of 80%). Nonparametric permutation testing with Pearson correlation results indicated that the proposed metric (Mental Health Similarity Score [MHSS]) had a colinear relationship between GAD-7 Items 1, 3 and 7. Conclusions The proposed MHSS metric demonstrates the feasibility of using passively collected nonintrusive smartphone data and machine learning–based data mining techniques to track an individuals’ daily anxiety levels with a 76% accuracy that directly relates to the GAD-7 scale.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.008 | 0.014 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".