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ANALISIS VOLATILITAS HARGA DAGING SAPI MURNI DI PROVINSI JAWA TENGAH DENGAN PENDEKATAN ARCH GARCH

2022· article· en· W4293213436 on OpenAlexaff
Anita Sandiarti, Yustirania Septiani

Bibliographic record

VenueJurnal Jendela Inovasi Daerah · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicLivestock Farming and Management
Canadian institutionsEncana (Canada)
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVolatility (finance)Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticityCommodityArchEconomicsJavaEconometricsGeographyComputer scienceFinance

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Indonesia has an important commodity for the community, namely beef including in Central Java Province. One of the foodstuffs that produce protein is beef where its usefulness is important to meet human nutritional needs. Besides being important for consumption needs, this commodity also contributes in economic terms because beef is produced by the community ranging from small to large scale. This research further leads to reviewing the volatility of beef prices in Central Java Province through the ARCH GARCH method and daily data (time series) of beef on January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020. The results of the study showed the most appropriate model for calculating the volatility of beef prices is the model (1,2). The results of the model predictions show that the movement of beef price volatility tends to be stable when after eid al-Fitr, and it is expected that changes or spikes in beef prices in the future will be less minimal.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.013
Threshold uncertainty score0.025

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.218
Teacher spread0.195 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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