“Adding an Egg” in Algorithmic Decision Making: Improving Stakeholder and User Perceptions, and Predictive Validity by Enhancing Autonomy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Decision makers often combine multiple pieces of information to make performance predictions and hiring decisions. More valid predictions are made when information is combined algorithmically (mechanical prediction) rather than in the decision-maker’s mind (holistic prediction). Yet, decision makers rarely use algorithms in practice. One reason is that decision makers are worried about negative evaluations from other stakeholders such as colleagues when using algorithms. We hypothesized that such stakeholders evaluate decision makers more positively when they use autonomy-enhancing algorithmic procedures (AEAPs, holistically adjust predictions from a prescribed algorithm or self-design an algorithm), than when they use a prescribed algorithm. Relatedly, we hypothesized that decision makers who use AEAPs are less worried about negative stakeholder evaluations, and more likely to use algorithms in performance predictions. In Study 1 (N = 582), stakeholders evaluated decision makers more positively when they used AEAPs rather than a prescribed algorithm. In Study 2 (N = 269), decision makers were less worried about negative stakeholder evaluations and more likely to use AEAPs compared to a prescribed algorithm. Importantly, using AEAPs also resulted in substantially higher predictive validity than holistic prediction. We recommend the use of self-designed algorithms to improve perceptions and validity.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.032 | 0.140 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.007 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".